INTERNATIONAL - AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS QUALIFICATION

GABGAB

20:00Tue 29 Sep

NIG

NIG

Gabon vs Niger

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. This is an Africa Cup of Nations Qualification Group Stage - 2 match. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 20:00 Lagos time at Stade de Franceville.

Form. Gabon have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game, and their last five, newest first, are L L L L L. In this competition Gabon have gone L. Niger have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game, with their last five, newest first, W W W W L.

The numbers. Gabon score 1.7 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal, averaging 12.0 shots (5.0 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game and holding 46% of the ball. Niger score 0.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal, averaging 8.0 shots (3.4 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side, their goals for and against point to a tight game, and their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Gabon 1-1 Niger (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

GAB 5 of 7 (71%) · NIG 9 of 9 (100%)87.4%

Gabon's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Niger's games: over 2.5 cards in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

Gabon goals →

Niger goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

GABONWWDWWLLLLL1.30 PPG

NIGERLLLDDLWWWW1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

GABON HOMExNIGER AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME0.801.60CONCEDED A GAME1.2020%CLEAN SHEETS40%3.25CORNERS A GAME3.332.00CARDS A GAME2.67

TRENDS

Gabon have scored in 70% of their games.

Niger have scored in 50% of their games.

Gabon kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Niger kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards