THE READ
Match details. This is Africa Cup of Nations Qualification, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Guinea-Bissau have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D. Nigeria have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W W.
The numbers. Guinea-Bissau score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. They average 1.2 cards a game. Nigeria score 1.8 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Nigeria average 16.8 shots (7.2 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 62% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Guinea-Bissau have won one, drawn none and lost three. None of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 22 Jan 2024, it finished Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria: Guinea-Bissau had 12 shots to 11, 51% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The read. Nigeria to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Nigeria the likelier winners and they are the stronger side on form and the table. Both teams' records favour Nigeria and the head-to-head meetings do too. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%. Four of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Nigeria at 1.11, 95% on the records (Nigeria unbeaten in 10 of 10; Guinea-Bissau failed to win 4 of 5 at home). Backup: Guinea-Bissau Under 1.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Nigeria or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Nigeria or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria (12% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Double Chance: Draw or NigeriaMAININ CODES
1.11
GNB 10 of 10 (100%) · NGA 4 of 5 (80%)97.6%
Nigeria unbeaten in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Guinea-Bissau failed to win 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 98% · H2H 3 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against
Nigeria (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.16
GNB 6 of 6 (100%) · NGA 7 of 9 (78%)97.1%
Nigeria won 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Guinea-Bissau lost 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 97% · H2H 3 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against · won 5, refunded 2, lost 1
Nigeria or draw and under 3.5 goalsSETTLEDIN CODES
1.33
GNB 4 of 5 (80%) · NGA 7 of 10 (70%)84.3%
Guinea-Bissau: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Nigeria: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · H2H 3 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against · rule 2: the meetings back Nigeria: in the last 4 meetings, Guinea-Bissau won 1 and Nigeria won 3; in the last 4, Guinea-Bissau won 1 and Nigeria won 3
Nigeria win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.19
GNB 8 of 10 (80%) · NGA 4 of 5 (80%)79.8%
Nigeria: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Guinea-Bissau: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against
Nigeria to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.30
GNB 6 of 10 (60%) · NGA 4 of 5 (80%)75.6%
Nigeria: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Guinea-Bissau: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
1st Half Result or Match Result: NigeriaPAGE ONLY
1.30
GNB 6 of 10 (60%) · NGA 4 of 5 (80%)75.6%
Nigeria: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Guinea-Bissau: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
1.51
GNB 6 of 10 (60%) · NGA 3 of 5 (60%)66.8%
Nigeria won 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Guinea-Bissau lost 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 72% · H2H 3 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against
Nigeria win and under 3.5 goalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.82
GNB 3 of 10 (30%) · NGA 3 of 5 (60%)59.8%
Nigeria: the bet landed in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Guinea-Bissau: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 50% · H2H 3 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against · rule 2: the meetings back Nigeria: in the last 4 meetings, Guinea-Bissau won 1 and Nigeria won 3; in the last 4, Guinea-Bissau won 1 and Nigeria won 3
GOALS
1.18
GNB 5 of 5 (100%) · NGA 7 of 10 (70%)86.8%
Guinea-Bissau: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Nigeria: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 4 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against
GUINEA-BISSAU GOALS
Guinea-Bissau Under 1.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.09
GNB 4 of 5 (80%) · NGA 9 of 10 (90%)90.9%
Guinea-Bissau scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Nigeria conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 4 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against
NIGERIA GOALS
Nigeria Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.19
GNB 8 of 10 (80%) · NGA 4 of 5 (80%)79.8%
Nigeria scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Guinea-Bissau conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Nigeria or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Nigeria or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4
GUINEA-BISSAU 1 · 25%DRAW 0NIGERIA 3 · 75%
0 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED
1 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS
0 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-01-19Guinea-Bissau 0 – 2 Nigeria
2023-03-24Guinea-Bissau 1 – 0 Nigeria
2023-03-27Guinea-Bissau 0 – 1 Nigeria
2024-01-22Guinea-Bissau 0 – 1 Nigeria
TRENDS
Guinea-Bissau have scored in 70% of their games.
Nigeria have scored in 80% of their games.
Guinea-Bissau kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Nigeria kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.