Match details. Brasileiro Serie B, Regular Season - 31. Kick-off is Fri 2 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time. It is played at Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase, New Horizons. The referee is Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva.
What's at stake. Gremio Novorizontino SP are 4th on 51 points after 30 games, 1 point behind Fortaleza EC, 1 point clear of Criciuma. A win would take them above Fortaleza EC. Goias EC GO are 11th on 42 points after 30 games, 1 point behind Cuiaba, level on points with São Bernardo. A win would take them above Cuiaba.
Form. Gremio Novorizontino SP have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. In this competition Gremio Novorizontino SP have gone D L D W W W. Goias EC GO have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. In this competition Goias EC GO have gone L W W L L W.
The numbers. Gremio Novorizontino SP score 1.5 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Gremio Novorizontino SP average 20.0 shots (7.0 on target), 8.4 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Goias EC GO score 0.9 and concede one a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Goias EC GO average 4.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Gremio Novorizontino SP have won three, drawn none and lost two. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Gremio Novorizontino SP won two and Goias EC GO won two. The last time they met, on 10 Jun 2026, it finished Gremio Novorizontino SP 4-0 Goias EC GO: Gremio Novorizontino SP had 14 shots to 22, 29% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. Goias EC GO's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Gremio Novorizontino SP to win. A tight game. Gremio Novorizontino SP are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Gremio Novorizontino SP. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%. Three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 83% on the records (Gremio Novorizontino SP: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; Goias EC GO: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). The safer one: Goias EC GO Under 1.5 Goals at 1.17 (88%). Backup: Gremio Novorizontino SP or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Gremio Novorizontino SP or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Gremio Novorizontino SP or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); 1X2 - 2UP: Gremio Novorizontino SP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Gremio Novorizontino SP 1-0 Goias EC GO (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).