PAPLY

12:30Sat 10 Oct

AFC

Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon

CLASS E

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THE BETSTRONG · NOT IN CODES

DRAW NO BET

Class E

PAv

Plymouth Argyle (Draw No Bet)

Plymouth Argyle v AFC Wimbledon

England - League One · 12:30

1.20odds

83%book

+2edge

2/3angles

THE READ

Match details. League One, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Home Park, Plymouth.

What's at stake. Plymouth Argyle are 1st on 16 points after 9 games, level on points with Bradford. AFC Wimbledon are 9th on 12 points after 8 games, level on points with Burton Albion, 1 point clear of Oxford United. A win would take them above Burton Albion.

Form. Plymouth Argyle have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W. AFC Wimbledon have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W W.

The numbers. Plymouth Argyle score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Plymouth Argyle average 8.8 shots (3.3 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. AFC Wimbledon score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. AFC Wimbledon average 5.5 shots (1.6 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Plymouth Argyle have won six, drawn one and lost two. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Plymouth Argyle won three and AFC Wimbledon won one. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished Plymouth Argyle 3-1 AFC Wimbledon: Plymouth Argyle had 22 shots to 15, 46% of the ball, five yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. AFC Wimbledon's record still gives them 31% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.

The read. Plymouth Argyle to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Plymouth Argyle the likelier winners; Plymouth Argyle are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Plymouth Argyle; the meetings favour Plymouth Argyle. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%.

The bets. Best bet: Plymouth Argyle (Draw No Bet) at 1.20, 80% on the records (Plymouth Argyle won 5 of 7 (draws left out); AFC Wimbledon lost 2 of 5 (draws left out)). Backup: Plymouth Argyle or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Plymouth Argyle are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Plymouth Argyle are a clear winner, no Unders); Plymouth Argyle Over 1.5 goals (AFC Wimbledon's own games don't back it (1 of 7)). Predicted score: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 AFC Wimbledon (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Plymouth Argyle or Under 2.5 GoalsBACKUPPAGE ONLY

1.13

PLY 7 of 7 (100%) · AFC 7 of 7 (100%)93.8%

Plymouth Argyle: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Wimbledon: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 6 · Plymouth Argyle: only games against sides at AFC Wimbledon's level · AFC Wimbledon: only games against sides at Plymouth Argyle's level

Plymouth Argyle (Draw No Bet)MAINPAGE ONLY

1.20

PLY 5 of 7 (71%) · AFC 2 of 5 (40%)84.9%

Plymouth Argyle won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · AFC Wimbledon lost 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 4 of 5 · Plymouth Argyle: only games against sides at AFC Wimbledon's level · won 5, refunded 2, lost 3

Plymouth Argyle to WinPAGE ONLY

1.51

PLY 5 of 7 (71%) · AFC 1 of 7 (14%)71.5%

Plymouth Argyle won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Wimbledon lost 1 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 43% · H2H 4 of 6 · Plymouth Argyle: only games against sides at AFC Wimbledon's level · AFC Wimbledon: only games against sides at Plymouth Argyle's level

Plymouth Argyle or Draw (1UP)LEANHELD · the odds board 91%

1.10

PLY 4 of 5 (80%) · AFC 5 of 7 (71%)69.5%

Plymouth Argyle scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Wimbledon trailed or failed to win in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Plymouth Argyle: only games against sides at AFC Wimbledon's level · AFC Wimbledon: only games against sides at Plymouth Argyle's level

1X2 - 2UP: Plymouth ArgyleLEANPAGE ONLY

1.46

PLY 4 of 5 (80%) · AFC 5 of 7 (71%)55.2%

Plymouth Argyle scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 4 · led by 2 or won in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Wimbledon trailed by 2 or lost in 1 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Plymouth Argyle: only games against sides at AFC Wimbledon's level · AFC Wimbledon: only games against sides at Plymouth Argyle's level

AFC WIMBLEDON GOALS

AFC Wimbledon Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.25

PLY 6 of 7 (86%) · AFC 4 of 7 (57%)83.6%

AFC Wimbledon scored under 1.5 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Plymouth Argyle conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 4 of 6 · AFC Wimbledon: only games against sides at Plymouth Argyle's level · Plymouth Argyle: only games against sides at AFC Wimbledon's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Plymouth Argyle are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Plymouth Argyle are a clear winner - no Unders); Plymouth Argyle Over 1.5 goals (AFC Wimbledon's own games don't back it (1 of 7)); Plymouth Argyle or draw and under 3.5 goals (Plymouth Argyle are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (Plymouth Argyle are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–0 11.3%

Plymouth Argyle goals →

AFC Wimbledon goals ↓

0-07%

1-011%

2-011%

3-07%

4-04%

5-01%

0-15%

1-111%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-22%

1-24%

2-24%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-30.7%

1-31%

2-31%

3-30.8%

4-30.4%

5-30.2%

0-40.1%

1-40.3%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

PLYMOUTH ARGYLEDWLWWWWLWL1.90 PPG

AFC WIMBLEDONDDDWWLWLDD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE HOMExAFC WIMBLEDON AWAY

1.78SCORED A GAME0.751.22CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS60%22%FAILED TO SCORE38%5.67CORNERS A GAME5.131.00CARDS A GAME1.601.44xG0.871.34xG AGAINST1.33

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE TO SCORE

–

136 OF 144

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.78POINTS A GAME1.50+0.56GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.25+1.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.72.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.69LEAGUE GAMES8

Plymouth Argyle: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

70%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

29%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

83%

NO · 85/90

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

AFC WIMBLEDON OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

PLYMOUTH ARGYLExAFC WIMBLEDON

5GAMES52.40SCORED A GAME1.001.00CONCEDED A GAME1.003.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE40%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.210.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE 6 · 67%DRAW 1AFC WIMBLEDON 2 · 22%

5 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS

2018-02-13Plymouth Argyle 4 – 2 AFC Wimbledon

2018-10-06Plymouth Argyle 1 – 0 AFC Wimbledon

2018-12-26Plymouth Argyle 1 – 2 AFC Wimbledon

2020-09-19Plymouth Argyle 4 – 4 AFC Wimbledon

2021-04-02Plymouth Argyle 1 – 0 AFC Wimbledon

2021-09-18Plymouth Argyle 1 – 0 AFC Wimbledon

2022-03-08Plymouth Argyle 2 – 0 AFC Wimbledon

2025-10-18Plymouth Argyle 1 – 2 AFC Wimbledon

TRENDS

Plymouth Argyle have scored in 80% of their games.

AFC Wimbledon have scored in 60% of their games.

Plymouth Argyle kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

AFC Wimbledon kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards