NCNOT

12:30Sat 10 Oct

OXF

Notts County vs Oxford United

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. League One, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Meadow Lane, Nottingham.

What's at stake. Notts County are 20th on 7 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Bromley, 1 point clear of Doncaster. A win would take them above Bromley. Oxford United are 10th on 11 points after 6 games, 1 point behind AFC Wimbledon, 1 point clear of Leyton Orient. A win would take them above AFC Wimbledon.

Form. Notts County have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D D. Oxford United have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L.

The numbers. Notts County score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Notts County average 5.4 shots (2.3 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Oxford United score 1.5 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Oxford United average 7.5 shots (3.5 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.

Head to head. Oxford United have won all of the last two meetings. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 2 Jan 2016, it finished Notts County 2-4 Oxford United.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.

The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Notts County 1-1 Oxford United (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.12

NOT 7 of 7 (100%) · OXF 6 of 6 (100%)93.7%

Notts County: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Oxford United: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Notts County: only games against sides at Oxford United's level · Oxford United: only games against sides at Notts County's level

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.29

NOT 6 of 7 (86%) · OXF 6 of 6 (100%)74.8%

Notts County: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Oxford United: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Notts County: only games against sides at Oxford United's level · Oxford United: only games against sides at Notts County's level

NOTTS COUNTY GOALS

Notts County Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.54

NOT 5 of 7 (71%) · OXF 4 of 6 (67%)69.5%

Notts County scored under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Oxford United conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Notts County: only games against sides at Oxford United's level · Oxford United: only games against sides at Notts County's level

Notts County Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 78%

1.28

NOT 5 of 7 (71%) · OXF 4 of 6 (67%)48.4%

Notts County scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Oxford United conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Notts County: only games against sides at Oxford United's level · Oxford United: only games against sides at Notts County's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.24

NOT 6 of 7 (86%) · OXF 6 of 6 (100%)92.9%

Notts County: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Oxford United: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · on half-time scores · Notts County: only games against sides at Oxford United's level · Oxford United: only games against sides at Notts County's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.44

NOT 5 of 7 (71%) · OXF 5 of 6 (83%)77.4%

Notts County: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Oxford United: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · on half-time scores · Notts County: only games against sides at Oxford United's level · Oxford United: only games against sides at Notts County's level

2nd Half - Oxford United Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.81

NOT 5 of 6 (83%) · OXF 4 of 7 (57%)70.2%

Oxford United: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · Oxford United: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Oxford United's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

Notts County goals →

Oxford United goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

NOTTS COUNTYWLLDDWDDDW1.40 PPG

OXFORD UNITEDDDWWLWDLLW1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NOTTS COUNTY HOMExOXFORD UNITED AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME2.171.29CONCEDED A GAME1.1710%CLEAN SHEETS20%29%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.43CORNERS A GAME4.332.20CARDS A GAME1.501.32xG1.310.97xG AGAINST1.50

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME2.00-0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.20+0.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.01.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.07LEAGUE GAMES5

Oxford United: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

OXFORD UNITED 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

NOTTS COUNTY OR DRAW

52%

NO · 80/85

OXFORD UNITED OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

NOTTS COUNTYxOXFORD UNITED

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME2.201.40CONCEDED A GAME1.002.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

NOTTS COUNTY 0 · 0%DRAW 0OXFORD UNITED 2 · 100%

2015-08-18Notts County 1 – 3 Oxford United

2016-01-02Notts County 2 – 4 Oxford United

TRENDS

Notts County have scored in 80% of their games.

Oxford United have scored in 80% of their games.

Notts County kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Oxford United kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards