US Concarneau vs Paris 13 Atletico
Match details. Ligue 3. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
Form. US Concarneau have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D D. Paris 13 Atletico have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D D.
The numbers. US Concarneau score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. US Concarneau average 2.2 shots (1.0 on target), 0.8 corners and 0.4 cards a game. Paris 13 Atletico score 0.7 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Paris 13 Atletico average 5.4 shots (1.9 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 23%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.21, 83% on the records (US Concarneau: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Paris 13 Atletico: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: US Concarneau or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Paris 13 Atletico or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: US Concarneau 1-1 Paris 13 Atletico (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).