Match details. Eerste Divisie. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Almere City FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. FC Volendam have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W.
The numbers. Almere City FC score 1.8 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Almere City FC average 12.0 shots (4.8 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game. FC Volendam score 1.6 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. FC Volendam average 12.3 shots (4.8 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The case against. FC Volendam's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Almere City FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Almere City FC the likelier winners; Almere City FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Almere City FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.12, 81% on the records (Almere City FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8; FC Volendam: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: Almere City FC or FC Volendam at 1.24. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FC Volendam or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Almere City FC); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Almere City FC 2-1 FC Volendam (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).