HUHAR

15:00Sat 3 Oct

TAM

Hartlepool United vs Tamworth FC

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. National League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Victoria Park, Hartlepool.

What's at stake. Hartlepool United are 22nd on 9 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Scunthorpe, 2 points clear of Solihull Moors. A win would take them above Scunthorpe. Tamworth FC are 20th on 11 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Boston United, 1 point clear of Scunthorpe. A win would take them above Boston United.

Form. Hartlepool United have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. Tamworth FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.

The numbers. Hartlepool United score 0.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Hartlepool United average 4.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Tamworth FC score 1.2 and concede 3.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Tamworth FC average 5.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Hartlepool United have won one, drawn three and lost none. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 7 Feb 2026, it finished Hartlepool United 1-1 Tamworth FC.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Hartlepool United the likelier winners, but Tamworth FC are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%; three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.

The read. No side to back. A draw is live. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Tamworth FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Tamworth FC (Draw No Bet) (no result call); Tamworth FC Over 0.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Hartlepool United 1-1 Tamworth FC (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HAR 9 of 9 (100%) · TAM 4 of 5 (80%)95.4%

Hartlepool United: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Tamworth FC: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · H2H 4 of 4 · Hartlepool United: only games against sides at Tamworth FC's level · Tamworth FC: only games against sides at Hartlepool United's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.21

HAR 8 of 9 (89%) · TAM 2 of 5 (40%)74.4%

Hartlepool United: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Tamworth FC: under 4.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · H2H 4 of 4 · Hartlepool United: only games against sides at Tamworth FC's level · Tamworth FC: only games against sides at Hartlepool United's level

HARTLEPOOL UNITED GOALS

Hartlepool United Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.17

HAR 5 of 9 (56%) · TAM 5 of 5 (100%)68.4%

Hartlepool United scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Tamworth FC conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · H2H 4 of 4 · Hartlepool United: only games against sides at Tamworth FC's level · Tamworth FC: only games against sides at Hartlepool United's level

Hartlepool United Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.83

HAR 9 of 9 (100%) · TAM 0 of 5 (0%)54.2%

Hartlepool United scored under 1.5 in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Tamworth FC conceded under 1.5 in 0 of 5 away · both last 10: 61% · H2H 3 of 4 · Hartlepool United: only games against sides at Tamworth FC's level · Tamworth FC: only games against sides at Hartlepool United's level

Left off the list: Tamworth FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Tamworth FC (Draw No Bet) (no result call); Tamworth FC Over 0.5 goals (the numbers (71%) and the records (92%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.2%

Hartlepool United goals →

Tamworth FC goals ↓

0-06%

1-09%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-16%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-27%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.7%

3-40.4%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

HARTLEPOOL UNITEDLLLLLLWLLL0.30 PPG

TAMWORTH FCWLWLLLDLWL1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

HARTLEPOOL UNITED HOMExTAMWORTH FC AWAY

0.73SCORED A GAME1.731.45CONCEDED A GAME2.5510%CLEAN SHEETS10%36%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.36CORNERS A GAME5.642.09CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.82POINTS A GAME1.00-0.73GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.82-1.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.00.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.211LEAGUE GAMES11

Tamworth FC: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

70%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 85/90

HARTLEPOOL UNITED OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

TAMWORTH FC OR DRAW

34%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

HARTLEPOOL UNITEDxTAMWORTH FC

5GAMES60.80SCORED A GAME1.501.00CONCEDED A GAME3.501.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES5.040%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%20%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

HARTLEPOOL UNITED 1 · 25%DRAW 3TAMWORTH FC 0 · 0%

3 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-08-20Hartlepool United 1 – 0 Tamworth FC

2025-02-11Hartlepool United 2 – 2 Tamworth FC

2025-09-27Hartlepool United 1 – 1 Tamworth FC

2026-02-07Hartlepool United 1 – 1 Tamworth FC

TRENDS

Hartlepool United have scored in 50% of their games.

Tamworth FC have scored in 100% of their games.

Hartlepool United kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Tamworth FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards