HTHAR

15:00Sat 3 Oct

AFC

Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch

CLASS E

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THE BETLIVELY · NOT IN CODES

DRAW NO BET

Class E

HTv

Harrogate Town (Draw No Bet)

Harrogate Town v AFC Hornchurch

England - National… · 15:00

1.23odds

81%book

-4edge

—angles

THE READ

Match details. National League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Exercise Stadium, Harrogate.

What's at stake. Harrogate Town are 2nd on 22 points after 11 games, 7 points behind Boreham Wood, 1 point clear of Southend. AFC Hornchurch are 10th on 18 points after 11 games, level on points with Kidderminster Harriers, 1 point clear of Sutton Utd. A win would take them above Kidderminster Harriers.

Form. Harrogate Town have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. In this competition Harrogate Town have gone W W L L W W. AFC Hornchurch have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. In this competition AFC Hornchurch have gone W L W L L L.

The numbers. Harrogate Town score 2.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Harrogate Town average 4.5 corners and 1.7 cards a game. AFC Hornchurch score one and concede 2.3 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. AFC Hornchurch average 4.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game.

The case against. AFC Hornchurch's record still gives them 31% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 84%.

The read. Harrogate Town to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Harrogate Town the likelier winners; Harrogate Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Harrogate Town.

The bets. Best bet: Harrogate Town (Draw No Bet) at 1.22, 64% on the records (Harrogate Town won 6 of 9 (draws left out); AFC Hornchurch lost 4 of 6 away (draws left out)). Backup: Harrogate Town Over 0.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Harrogate Town 2-0 AFC Hornchurch (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Harrogate Town or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.11

HAR 4 of 5 (80%) · AFC 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%

Harrogate Town scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · AFC Hornchurch trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away

Harrogate Town 1UPIN CODES

1.30

HAR 4 of 5 (80%) · AFC 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%

Harrogate Town scored first 2 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 at home · AFC Hornchurch trailed in 5 of 5 away

Harrogate Town or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.15

HAR 3 of 5 (60%) · AFC 4 of 6 (67%)77.4%

Harrogate Town: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · AFC Hornchurch: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · Harrogate Town: only games against sides at AFC Hornchurch's level · AFC Hornchurch: only games against sides at Harrogate Town's level

Harrogate Town (Draw No Bet)MAINPAGE ONLY

1.23

HAR 6 of 9 (67%) · AFC 4 of 6 (67%)77.4%

Harrogate Town won 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · AFC Hornchurch lost 4 of 6 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 58% · Harrogate Town: only games against sides at AFC Hornchurch's level · AFC Hornchurch: only games against sides at Harrogate Town's level · won 7, refunded 1, lost 3

1X2 - 2UP: Harrogate TownLEANPAGE ONLY

1.52

HAR 3 of 5 (60%) · AFC 3 of 5 (60%)66.7%

Harrogate Town scored first 2 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 3 of 5 at home · AFC Hornchurch trailed by 2 or lost in 4 of 5 away

Harrogate Town or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.73

HAR 1 of 5 (20%) · AFC 3 of 6 (50%)53.1%

Harrogate Town: the bet landed in 1 of 5 at home · AFC Hornchurch: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 35% · Harrogate Town: only games against sides at AFC Hornchurch's level · AFC Hornchurch: only games against sides at Harrogate Town's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HAR 5 of 5 (100%) · AFC 6 of 6 (100%)100%

Harrogate Town: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · AFC Hornchurch: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100% · Harrogate Town: only games against sides at AFC Hornchurch's level · AFC Hornchurch: only games against sides at Harrogate Town's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.19

HAR 4 of 5 (80%) · AFC 4 of 6 (67%)84.8%

Harrogate Town: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · AFC Hornchurch: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · Harrogate Town: only games against sides at AFC Hornchurch's level · AFC Hornchurch: only games against sides at Harrogate Town's level

Under 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.49

HAR 2 of 5 (40%) · AFC 4 of 6 (67%)66%

Harrogate Town: under 3.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · AFC Hornchurch: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 60% · Harrogate Town: only games against sides at AFC Hornchurch's level · AFC Hornchurch: only games against sides at Harrogate Town's level

HARROGATE TOWN GOALS

Harrogate Town Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.11

HAR 5 of 5 (100%) · AFC 6 of 6 (100%)97.9%

Harrogate Town scored in 5 of 5 at home · AFC Hornchurch conceded in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · Harrogate Town: only games against sides at AFC Hornchurch's level · AFC Hornchurch: only games against sides at Harrogate Town's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–0 7.9%

Harrogate Town goals →

AFC Hornchurch goals ↓

0-03%

1-06%

2-08%

3-06%

4-03%

5-02%

0-13%

1-19%

2-110%

3-17%

4-14%

5-12%

0-22%

1-25%

2-26%

3-24%

4-23%

5-21%

0-30.9%

1-32%

2-32%

3-32%

4-31%

5-30.5%

0-40.3%

1-40.6%

2-40.7%

3-40.6%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

HARROGATE TOWNWDLWWWLLWW1.90 PPG

AFC HORNCHURCHWLWWLLLWLW1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

HARROGATE TOWN HOMExAFC HORNCHURCH AWAY

2.00SCORED A GAME1.001.50CONCEDED A GAME1.6020%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE36%4.45CORNERS A GAME4.551.73CARDS A GAME1.64

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

HARROGATE TOWN TO SCORE

–

136 OF 144

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.

HARROGATE TOWN OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.00POINTS A GAME1.64+0.73GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.27+4.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.11.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.211LEAGUE GAMES11

Harrogate Town: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

79%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 85/90

HARROGATE TOWN OR DRAW

77%

NO · 80/85

AFC HORNCHURCH OR DRAW

30%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

HARROGATE TOWNxAFC HORNCHURCH

6GAMES62.83SCORED A GAME1.001.50CONCEDED A GAME2.334.3GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.3100%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS83%100%BOTH SCORE50%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Harrogate Town have scored in 100% of their games.

AFC Hornchurch have scored in 60% of their games.

Harrogate Town kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

AFC Hornchurch kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards