Aldershot Town FC vs Carlisle United
Match details. National League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground, Aldershot.
What's at stake. Aldershot Town FC are 7th on 18 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Yeovil Town, level on points with Worthing. A win would take them above Yeovil Town. Carlisle United are 16th on 13 points after 11 games, 1 point behind FC Halifax Town, 1 point clear of Wealdstone. A win would take them above FC Halifax Town.
Form. Aldershot Town FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. In this competition Aldershot Town FC have gone L W L D W W. Carlisle United have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D D. In this competition Carlisle United have gone W L L D D L.
The numbers. Aldershot Town FC score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Aldershot Town FC average 3.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Carlisle United score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Carlisle United average 6.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Aldershot Town FC have won one, drawn none and lost two. None of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 10 Mar 2026, it finished Aldershot Town FC 0-2 Carlisle United.
Where it pulls both ways. Aldershot Town FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Carlisle United: in the last three meetings, Aldershot Town FC won one and Carlisle United won two.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%. Not everything agrees on goals: three of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. A draw is live. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 77% on the records (Aldershot Town FC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Carlisle United: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Carlisle United Over 0.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Aldershot Town FC or Both Teams Score (no result call); Aldershot Town FC or Draw & Over 1.5 (no result call); Aldershot Town FC or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: Aldershot Town FC 2-1 Carlisle United (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).