Match details. Eerste Divisie, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Fri 2 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Lavans Stadion, Helmond.
What's at stake. Helmond Sport are 7th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Emmen, level on points with MVV. A win would take them above Emmen. Heracles Almelo are 16th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Vitesse, level on points with Jong PSV U21. A win would take them above Vitesse.
Form. Helmond Sport have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L. Heracles Almelo have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W.
The numbers. Helmond Sport score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Helmond Sport average 7.9 shots (3.1 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Heracles Almelo score 2.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Heracles Almelo average 14.0 shots (5.9 on target), 7.3 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. Heracles Almelo have won all of the last two meetings. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 21 Apr 2023, it finished Helmond Sport 0-1 Heracles Almelo: Helmond Sport had 10 shots to 17, 53% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
The case against. Helmond Sport's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. Heracles Almelo to win. An open game. Heracles Almelo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Heracles Almelo. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 92% on the records (Helmond Sport: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Heracles Almelo: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Heracles Almelo Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Heracles Almelo (Draw No Bet) (the signs point different ways); Heracles Almelo or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Helmond Sport 1-2 Heracles Almelo (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).