Match details. First Division, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Fri 2 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Ferrycarrig Park, Wexford.
What's at stake. Wexford FC are 8th on 40 points after 33 games, 5 points behind Athlone Town, 4 points clear of Treaty United. Longford Town FC are 4th on 47 points after 33 games, 2 points behind UCD, 1 point clear of Cobh Ramblers. A win would take them above UCD. Wexford FC have nothing left to play for. Longford Town FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Wexford FC have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. In this competition Wexford FC have gone L W L W L L. Longford Town FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D. In this competition Longford Town FC have gone W W L L D W.
The numbers. Wexford FC score one and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Wexford FC average 3.6 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Longford Town FC score 1.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Longford Town FC average 4.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Wexford FC have won three, drawn two and lost five. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Wexford FC won one, one was drawn and Longford Town FC won two. The last time they met, on 25 Jul 2026, it finished Wexford FC 2-1 Longford Town FC.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%. Not everything agrees on goals: eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.40, 73% on the records (Wexford FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10; Longford Town FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Longford Town FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Wexford FC 1-1 Longford Town FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).