Match details. Southern League Premier South, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Wed 30 Sep, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Frome Town are 7th on 13 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Chertsey Town, level on points with Evesham United. A win would take them above Chertsey Town. Taunton Town are 12th on 12 points after 8 games, level on points with Wimborne Town, 1 point clear of Gosport Borough. A win would take them above Wimborne Town.
Form. Frome Town have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D W. Taunton Town have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W.
The numbers. Frome Town score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Taunton Town score 2.6 and concede three a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Frome Town have won none, drawn one and lost two. None of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 11 Feb 2025, it finished Frome Town 0-0 Taunton Town.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 32% against the records' 52%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%; three of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: Taunton Town are the better side, but not at this price. Taunton Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Taunton Town.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Frome Town Under 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Frome Town 1-1 Taunton Town (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).