Match details. Southern League Premier South, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Uxbridge FC are 2nd on 17 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Plymouth Parkway, 1 point clear of Hanworth Villa. A win would take them above Plymouth Parkway. Basingstoke Town FC are 16th on 9 points after 8 games, level on points with Wimborne Town, 2 points clear of Sholing. A win would take them above Wimborne Town.
Form. Uxbridge FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W. Basingstoke Town FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L D.
The numbers. Uxbridge FC score 2.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Uxbridge FC average 12.7 shots (4.3 on target), 3.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Basingstoke Town FC score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Uxbridge FC have won one, drawn two and lost three. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Uxbridge FC won one, one was drawn and Basingstoke Town FC won two. The last time they met, on 31 Jan 2026, it finished Uxbridge FC 1-1 Basingstoke Town FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 58% against the records' 34%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The read. No firm call: Uxbridge FC are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Uxbridge FC the likelier winners; Uxbridge FC are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Basingstoke Town FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Uxbridge FC). Predicted score: Uxbridge FC 1-1 Basingstoke Town FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).