Match details. Southern League Premier South, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Gloucester City are 20th on 6 points after 8 games, level on points with Hanwell Town, 1 point clear of Malvern Town. A win would take them above Hanwell Town. Plymouth Parkway are 1st on 19 points after 8 games, 2 points clear of Uxbridge.
Form. Gloucester City have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W. Plymouth Parkway have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W.
The numbers. Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Gloucester City average 5.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Plymouth Parkway score 2.3 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Gloucester City have won two, drawn none and lost two. Four of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 28 Mar 2026, it finished Gloucester City 3-0 Plymouth Parkway.
The case against. Gloucester City's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Plymouth Parkway to win. An open game. Plymouth Parkway are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Plymouth Parkway. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%. Four of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 93% on the records (Gloucester City: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6; Plymouth Parkway: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Gloucester City 1-2 Plymouth Parkway (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).