Almeria vs Burgos CF
Match details. LALIGA HYPERMOTION. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:15 Lagos time.
Form. Almeria have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. Burgos CF have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D.
The numbers. Almeria score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Almeria average 10.0 shots (3.7 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Burgos CF score one and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Burgos CF average 8.8 shots (3.0 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Burgos CF are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Almeria.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.34, 78% on the records (Almeria: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Burgos CF: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Almeria or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Burgos CF or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Both Teams to Score - No (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Almeria 1-1 Burgos CF (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).