Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham.
What's at stake. Gillingham FC are 8th on 12 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Salford City, level on points with Crewe. A win would take them above Salford City. Newport County are 17th on 9 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Rochdale, 1 point clear of Shrewsbury. A win would take them above Rochdale.
Form. Gillingham FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W. Newport County have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L.
The numbers. Gillingham FC score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Gillingham FC average 8.2 shots (3.1 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Newport County score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Newport County average 6.8 shots (3.0 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 38% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Gillingham FC have won two, drawn none and lost six. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Gillingham FC won two and Newport County won two. The last time they met, on 17 Jan 2026, it finished Gillingham FC 3-2 Newport County: Gillingham FC had 19 shots to 22, 56% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.31, 82% on the records (Gillingham FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8; Newport County: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Newport County or Over 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Newport County or Over 1.5 Goals (no side to back); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Gillingham FC 1-2 Newport County (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).