Exeter City vs Rotherham United
Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at St James Park, Exeter.
What's at stake. Exeter City are 21st on 6 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Oldham, level on points with Northampton. A win would take them above Oldham. Rotherham United are 13th on 10 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Swindon Town, level on points with Fleetwood Town. A win would take them above Swindon Town.
Form. Exeter City have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W. Rotherham United have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D L.
The numbers. Exeter City score one and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Exeter City average 8.1 shots (2.7 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Rotherham United score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Rotherham United average 7.7 shots (3.1 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Exeter City have won one, drawn one and lost four. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Exeter City won one, one was drawn and Rotherham United won two. The last time they met, on 31 Jan 2026, it finished Exeter City 0-4 Rotherham United: Exeter City had 13 shots to 11, 65% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.33, 82% on the records (Exeter City: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 8; Rotherham United: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Exeter City or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Rotherham United or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Exeter City 0-0 Rotherham United (15% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).