Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at The Home of the Set Fare Arena, Livingston. The referee is L. Hogarth.
What's at stake. Livingston FC are 3rd on 13 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Raith Rovers, 1 point clear of Partick. A win would take them above Raith Rovers. Ayr United FC are 8th on 8 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Inverness CT, 4 points clear of Queen's Park. A win would take them above Inverness CT.
Form. Livingston FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L. Ayr United FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L D.
The numbers. Livingston FC score 2.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Livingston FC average 9.7 shots (2.9 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Ayr United FC score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Ayr United FC average 6.3 shots (2.7 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Livingston FC have won six, drawn none and lost four. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Livingston FC won three and Ayr United FC won one. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2025, it finished Livingston FC 5-0 Ayr United FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Ayr United FC's record still gives them 28% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Livingston FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Livingston FC the likelier winners; Livingston FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Livingston FC; the meetings favour Livingston FC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.41, 78% on the records (Livingston FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8; Ayr United FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8). The safer one: Ayr United FC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.26 (81%). Backup: Livingston FC or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Livingston FC 2-0 Ayr United FC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Livingston FC or Under 2.5 GoalsBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.14
LIV 7 of 8 (88%) · AYR 8 of 8 (100%)96.5%
Livingston FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Ayr United FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level
Livingston FC (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.24
LIV 4 of 7 (57%) · AYR 4 of 6 (67%)79.6%
Livingston FC won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Ayr United FC lost 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 5 of 6 · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level · won 6, refunded 2, lost 2
Double Chance: Livingston FC or DrawIN CODES
1.16
LIV 5 of 8 (62%) · AYR 6 of 8 (75%)79.3%
Livingston FC unbeaten in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Ayr United FC failed to win 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 6 · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level
Livingston FC to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.59
LIV 4 of 8 (50%) · AYR 4 of 8 (50%)73.9%
Livingston FC won 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Ayr United FC lost 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 5 of 6 · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level
Livingston FC or Draw (1UP)SETTLEDHELD · the odds board 89%
1.12
LIV 3 of 5 (60%) · AYR 5 of 8 (62%)65.8%
Livingston FC scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Ayr United FC trailed or failed to win in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level · rule 2: the meetings back Livingston FC: in the last 10 meetings, Living
Livingston FC or draw and under 3.5 goalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.65
LIV 3 of 8 (38%) · AYR 5 of 8 (62%)62.5%
Livingston FC: the bet landed in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Ayr United FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 3 of 6 · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level · rule 2: the meetings back Livingston FC: in the last 10 meetings, Livingston FC won 6 and Ayr United FC w
Livingston FC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.32
LIV 3 of 5 (60%) · AYR 5 of 8 (62%)61.7%
Livingston FC scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Ayr United FC trailed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level
Livingston FC win and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
2.30
LIV 3 of 8 (38%) · AYR 3 of 8 (38%)55.5%
Livingston FC: the bet landed in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Ayr United FC: the bet landed in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 38% · H2H 3 of 6 · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.17
LIV 7 of 8 (88%) · AYR 8 of 8 (100%)90.7%
Livingston FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Ayr United FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 6 · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.45
LIV 6 of 8 (75%) · AYR 7 of 8 (88%)83.2%
Livingston FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Ayr United FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 6 · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level
LIVINGSTON FC GOALS
Livingston FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.12
LIV 5 of 8 (62%) · AYR 6 of 8 (75%)79.3%
Livingston FC scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Ayr United FC conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 6 · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level
Livingston FC Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.65
LIV 5 of 8 (62%) · AYR 2 of 8 (25%)52.7%
Livingston FC scored over 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Ayr United FC conceded over 1.5 in 2 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 44% · H2H 5 of 6 · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level
AYR UNITED FC GOALS
Ayr United FC Under 1.5 goalsSAFERIN CODES
1.28
LIV 6 of 8 (75%) · AYR 6 of 8 (75%)86%
Ayr United FC scored under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Livingston FC conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · Ayr United FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Ayr United FC's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–010.4%
Livingston FC goals →
Ayr United FC goals ↓
0-06%
1-010%
2-010%
3-07%
4-03%
5-01%
0-15%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-23%
1-25%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.6%
0-30.8%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.2%
1-40.4%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
LIVINGSTON FCWDWLWLLWDW1.70 PPG
AYR UNITED FCWWDLLDLLWL1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LIVINGSTON FC HOMExAYR UNITED FC AWAY
2.00SCORED A GAME1.300.70CONCEDED A GAME1.3050%CLEAN SHEETS20%38%FAILED TO SCORE38%4.56CORNERS A GAME4.301.89CARDS A GAME1.40
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
LIVINGSTON FC OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.62POINTS A GAME1.00+0.62GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.25+2.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.01.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.88LEAGUE GAMES8
Livingston FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
77%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
17%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
LIVINGSTON FC OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
AYR UNITED FC OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LIVINGSTON FCxAYR UNITED FC
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME0.801.00CONCEDED A GAME1.202.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE40%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.67.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
LIVINGSTON FC 6 · 60%DRAW 0AYR UNITED FC 4 · 40%
5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
7 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2012-02-25Livingston FC 1 – 3 Ayr United FC
2012-03-06Livingston FC 1 – 2 Ayr United FC
2012-04-14Livingston FC 0 – 1 Ayr United FC
2019-07-16Livingston FC 2 – 1 Ayr United FC
2020-11-28Livingston FC 4 – 0 Ayr United FC
2023-08-19Livingston FC 2 – 0 Ayr United FC
2024-10-19Livingston FC 2 – 1 Ayr United FC
2024-12-21Livingston FC 0 – 1 Ayr United FC
TRENDS
Livingston FC have scored in 60% of their games.
Ayr United FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Livingston FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Ayr United FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards