Portadown FC vs Limavady United FC
Match details. Premiership, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Shamrock Park, Portadown.
What's at stake. Portadown FC are 12th on 1 point after 9 games, 4 points behind Bangor. Limavady United FC are 10th on 9 points after 8 games, level on points with Ballymena United, 4 points clear of Bangor. A win would take them above Ballymena United.
Form. Portadown FC have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. Limavady United FC have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L.
The numbers. Portadown FC score 0.9 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. Portadown FC average 7.3 shots (2.7 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Limavady United FC score 0.9 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Limavady United FC average 4.8 shots (2.0 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Portadown FC have won two, drawn three and lost none. Three of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Portadown FC won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 8 Jan 2022, it finished Portadown FC 2-0 Limavady United FC.
Where it pulls both ways. Limavady United FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Portadown FC: in the last five meetings, Portadown FC won two and three were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; three of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: three of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.43, 70% on the records (Portadown FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10; Limavady United FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Portadown FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Limavady United FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Portadown FC 1-1 Limavady United FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).