Lesotho vs Morocco
Match details. Africa Cup of Nations Qualification, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Lesotho have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L. Morocco have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. In this competition Morocco have gone W.
The numbers. Lesotho score 0.6 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Lesotho average 11.2 shots (3.2 on target), 2.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Morocco score 1.7 and concede 0.5 a game in their last six away, with four clean sheets. Morocco average 12.0 shots (4.0 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
Head to head. Morocco have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 18 Nov 2024, it finished Lesotho 0-7 Morocco.
The read. Morocco to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Morocco the likelier winners; Morocco are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Morocco. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Morocco or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Lesotho 0-3 Morocco (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).