Match details. UEFA Conference League, League Stage - 1. Kick-off Thu 15 Oct 17:45 Lagos time. The match is at Strandvallen, Sölvesborg.
Form. Mjallby AIF have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D D. Inter Club de Escaldes have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D.
The numbers. At home in their last five Mjallby AIF score 0.4 and concede 2.2 a game, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. They average 7.4 shots (3.2 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Inter Club de Escaldes score 2.3 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, posting seven clean sheets. They average 16.6 shots (6.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The case against. Inter Club de Escaldes's record still gives them 68% to win.
The read. Mjallby AIF or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Inter Club de Escaldes the likelier winners; Inter Club de Escaldes are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Inter Club de Escaldes. Their goals for and against point to an open game.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Mjallby AIF 2-2 Inter Club de Escaldes (3% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).