Match details. Premier Division. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. Shamrock Rovers have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D. Bohemians Dublin FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.
The numbers. Shamrock Rovers score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Shamrock Rovers average 4.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Bohemians Dublin FC score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Bohemians Dublin FC average 6.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Shamrock Rovers the likelier winners, but Bohemians Dublin FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bohemians Dublin FC.
The case against. Bohemians Dublin FC's record still gives them 50% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 83%.
The read. Shamrock Rovers or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Shamrock Rovers the likelier winners; Bohemians Dublin FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bohemians Dublin FC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Shamrock Rovers 1-1 Bohemians Dublin FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).