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SWEDEN - ALLSVENSKAN
Malmo crestMALMAL
18:00Mon 12 Oct
KALKalmar FF crestKF

Malmo vs Kalmar FF

CLASS B
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
90
DRAW NO BET
Class B
Malmo crestMALvKalmar FF crestKF
Malmo (Draw No Bet)
Malmo v Kalmar FF
Sweden - Allsvenskan · 18:00
1.33odds
75%book
+15edge
—angles
THE READ

Match details. Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 23. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Eleda Stadion, Malmö. The referee is Oscar Johnson.

What's at stake. Malmo are 8th on 33 points after 22 games, 2 points behind IFK Goteborg, level on points with AIK Stockholm. A win would take them above IFK Goteborg. Kalmar FF are 14th on 19 points after 22 games, 1 point behind Degerfors IF, 4 points clear of Orgryte IS. A win would take them above Degerfors IF.

Team news. Malmo are without K. Busuladzic (injury), A. Christiansen (inactive), E. Ekong (knee injury), P. Jansson (knee injury), W. Kamanzi (muscle injury), O. Sjostrand (knee injury). Kalmar FF are without K. Paananen (thigh injury), J. Kindberg (inactive), K. Paananen (thigh injury), J. Kindberg (inactive).

Form. Malmo have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L. In this competition Malmo have gone L W D W L W. Kalmar FF have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. In this competition Kalmar FF have gone L L L L D L.

The numbers. Malmo score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Malmo average 16.2 shots (5.5 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Kalmar FF score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Kalmar FF average 11.8 shots (3.1 on target), 4.4 corners and 0.8 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings Malmo have won four, drawn two and lost two. Three of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Malmo won one, two were drawn and Kalmar FF won one. The last time they met, on 20 Jul 2026, it finished Malmo 2-2 Kalmar FF: Malmo had 17 shots to 11, 69% of the ball, three yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%; five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. Kalmar FF's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.

The read. Malmo to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Malmo the likelier winners; Malmo are the stronger side on form and the table. Five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Malmo (Draw No Bet) at 1.33, 80% on the records (Malmo won 4 of 8 (draws left out); Kalmar FF lost 6 of 7 (draws left out)). Backup: Malmo Over 0.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Malmo are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 2.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Kalmar FF Under 1.5 goals (Malmo's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Malmo 1-0 Kalmar FF (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Double Chance: Malmo or DrawPAGE ONLY
1.21
MAL 2 of 5 (40%) · KAL 5 of 5 (100%)92.2%
Malmo unbeaten in 2 of 5 at home · Kalmar FF failed to win 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Malmo: only games against sides at Kalmar FF's level · Kalmar FF: only games against sides at Malmo's level
Malmo (Draw No Bet)MAININ CODES
1.33
MAL 4 of 8 (50%) · KAL 6 of 7 (86%)89.9%
Malmo won 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Kalmar FF lost 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 2 of 4 · Malmo: only games against sides at Kalmar FF's level · Kalmar FF: only games against sides at Malmo's level · won 4, refunded 3, lost 3
Malmo or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.19
MAL 2 of 5 (40%) · KAL 5 of 5 (100%)84.5%
Malmo: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Kalmar FF: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · Malmo: only games against sides at Kalmar FF's level · Kalmar FF: only games against sides at Malmo's level
Malmo to WinPAGE ONLY
1.76
MAL 1 of 5 (20%) · KAL 3 of 5 (60%)75.8%
Malmo won 1 of 5 at home · Kalmar FF lost 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · H2H 2 of 6 · Malmo: only games against sides at Kalmar FF's level · Kalmar FF: only games against sides at Malmo's level
MALMO GOALS
Malmo Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.15
MAL 3 of 5 (60%) · KAL 4 of 5 (80%)87.5%
Malmo scored in 3 of 5 at home · Kalmar FF conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Malmo: only games against sides at Kalmar FF's level · Kalmar FF: only games against sides at Malmo's level
Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Malmo are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 2.5 Cards (the numbers (60%) and the records (81%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it); Kalmar FF Under 1.5 goals (Malmo's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (Malmo are a clear winner - no Unders); Malmo or draw and under 3.5 goals (Malmo are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (Malmo are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 11.7%
Malmo goals →
Kalmar FF goals ↓
0-07%
1-012%
2-012%
3-07%
4-03%
5-01%
0-15%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-22%
1-24%
2-24%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-30.6%
1-31%
2-31%
3-30.7%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.1%
1-40.3%
2-40.2%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
MALMODLWLWLWDWL1.40 PPG
KALMAR FFDWDLLDLLLL0.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MALMO HOMExKALMAR FF AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME0.701.30CONCEDED A GAME1.9030%CLEAN SHEETS20%14%FAILED TO SCORE50%5.00CORNERS A GAME4.382.38CARDS A GAME0.751.64xG1.091.20xG AGAINST1.97
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
32%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
19%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
MALMO OR DRAW
85%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
KALMAR FF OR DRAW
49%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8
MALMO 4 · 50%DRAW 2KALMAR FF 2 · 25%
2 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-11-28Malmo 1 – 0 Kalmar FF
2022-04-03Malmo 1 – 0 Kalmar FF
2022-08-28Malmo 0 – 1 Kalmar FF
2023-04-01Malmo 1 – 0 Kalmar FF
2023-10-08Malmo 0 – 1 Kalmar FF
2024-05-24Malmo 5 – 0 Kalmar FF
2024-08-24Malmo 2 – 2 Kalmar FF
2026-07-20Malmo 2 – 2 Kalmar FF
TEAM NEWS

MALMO

Out: K. Busuladzic (Injury), A. Christiansen (Inactive), E. Ekong (Knee Injury), P. Jansson (Knee Injury), W. Kamanzi (Muscle Injury), O. Sjostrand (Knee Injury)

KALMAR FF

Out: K. Paananen (Thigh Injury), J. Kindberg (Inactive), K. Paananen (Thigh Injury), J. Kindberg (Inactive)
TRENDS
Malmo have scored in 70% of their games.
Kalmar FF have scored in 40% of their games.
Malmo kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Kalmar FF kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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