Match details. Superettan, Regular Season - 26. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Domnarvsvallen, Borlange. The referee is Fredrik Oppong.
What's at stake. IK Brage are 15th on 23 points after 25 games, 1 point behind Orebro SK, 4 points clear of GIF Sundsvall. A win would take them above Orebro SK. Helsingborgs IF are 10th on 30 points after 25 games, 4 points behind Sandviken, 1 point clear of IFK Varnamo.
Form. IK Brage have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L L. In this competition IK Brage have gone L D D L L L. Helsingborgs IF have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D. In this competition Helsingborgs IF have gone D L W L D L.
The numbers. IK Brage score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. IK Brage average 8.0 shots (3.2 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 41% of the ball. Helsingborgs IF score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Helsingborgs IF average 8.2 shots (3.2 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings IK Brage have won two, drawn two and lost six. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, IK Brage won one and Helsingborgs IF won three. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished IK Brage 0-2 Helsingborgs IF.
The case against. IK Brage's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Helsingborgs IF to win. A tight game. Helsingborgs IF are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Helsingborgs IF. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.49, 75% on the records (IK Brage: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Helsingborgs IF: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Helsingborgs IF or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Helsingborgs IF or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: IK Brage 0-1 Helsingborgs IF (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).