CSD Independiente del Valle vs SD Aucas
Match details. LigaPro Primera A, Championship Group - 2. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Banco De Guayaquil, Quito. The referee is Gorky Stalin Araujo Zambrano.
What's at stake. CSD Independiente del Valle are 1st on 74 points after 30 games, 20 points clear of Macara. SD Aucas are 4th on 50 points after 31 games, 1 point behind Universidad Catolica, 1 point clear of LDU de Quito. A win would take them above Universidad Catolica.
Form. CSD Independiente del Valle have won seven, drawn one and lost one of their last nine, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. In this competition CSD Independiente del Valle have gone W W L D W W. SD Aucas have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D W. In this competition SD Aucas have gone L D D D W W.
The numbers. CSD Independiente del Valle score 2.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets. CSD Independiente del Valle average 15.9 shots (6.2 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. SD Aucas score 1.1 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. SD Aucas average 10.0 shots (2.6 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CSD Independiente del Valle have won six, drawn two and lost two. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, CSD Independiente del Valle won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 16 Jul 2026, it finished CSD Independiente del Valle 3-0 SD Aucas.
The read. CSD Independiente del Valle to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CSD Independiente del Valle the likelier winners; CSD Independiente del Valle are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CSD Independiente del Valle; the meetings favour CSD Independiente del Valle. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: CSD Independiente del Valle or Draw at 1.14, 87% on the records (CSD Independiente del Valle unbeaten in 8 of 9; SD Aucas failed to win 6 of 10). Backup: CSD Independiente del Valle or Both Teams Score at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CSD Independiente del Valle or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); SD Aucas Under 1.5 goals (CSD Independiente del Valle's own games don't back it (3 of 9)); CSD Independiente del Valle Over 1.5 goals (SD Aucas's own games don't back it (2 of 10)). Predicted score: CSD Independiente del Valle 2-1 SD Aucas (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).