CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Deportivo Riestra AFBC
Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 12. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires. The referee is Bruno Amiconi.
What's at stake. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro are 12th on 11 points after 11 games, level on points with Deportivo Riestra, 1 point clear of Platense. A win would take them above Deportivo Riestra. Deportivo Riestra AFBC are 11th on 11 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Union Santa Fe, level on points with San Lorenzo. A win would take them above Union Santa Fe.
Form. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W L. In this competition CA San Lorenzo de Almagro have gone L L D W L D. Deportivo Riestra AFBC have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D D. In this competition Deportivo Riestra AFBC have gone D D L D D D.
The numbers. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro average 11.2 shots (3.6 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Deportivo Riestra AFBC score 0.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Deportivo Riestra AFBC average 10.6 shots (3.5 on target), 2.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 34% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings CA San Lorenzo de Almagro have won one, drawn two and lost one. None of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 25 Mar 2026, it finished CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 1-1 Deportivo Riestra AFBC: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro had 7 shots to 9, 65% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The case against. Deportivo Riestra AFBC's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 10%. Four of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.11, 79% on the records (CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Deportivo Riestra AFBC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Both Halves Under 1.5: Yes (the signs point different ways); CA San Lorenzo de Almagro or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Under 0.5 first-half goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 1-1 Deportivo Riestra AFBC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).