Match details. Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 23. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 15:30 Lagos time. It is played at Nordic Wellness Arena, Gothenburg. The referee is Kristoffer Karlsson.
What's at stake. BK Hacken are 5th on 36 points after 22 games, 1 point behind IF Elfsborg, 1 point clear of Vasteras SK FK. A win would take them above IF Elfsborg. Orgryte IS are 15th on 15 points after 22 games, 4 points behind Kalmar FF, 1 point clear of Halmstad.
Team news. BK Hacken are without B. Engdahl (lower-body injury), F. Ohman (shoulder injury), B. Engdahl (lower-body injury), F. Ohman (shoulder injury). Orgryte IS are without A. Abukar (knee injury), R. Alm (injury), V. Ekblom (thigh injury), W. Svensson (foot injury), J. Tibbling (muscle injury), A. Abukar (knee injury).
Form. BK Hacken have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L W. In this competition BK Hacken have gone W D D L W W. Orgryte IS have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D. In this competition Orgryte IS have gone L L D L D L.
The numbers. BK Hacken score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. BK Hacken average 13.4 shots (4.6 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Orgryte IS score one and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Orgryte IS average 10.8 shots (3.5 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 11 Jul 2026, it finished BK Hacken 3-4 Orgryte IS: BK Hacken had 18 shots to 14, 61% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 75% against the records' 50%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The read. No firm call: BK Hacken are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make BK Hacken the likelier winners; BK Hacken are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour BK Hacken.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (BK Hacken are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (BK Hacken are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: BK Hacken 2-0 Orgryte IS (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).