Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 28. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City. The referee is Pierre Luce Lauziere.
What's at stake. Sporting Kansas City are 15th on 21 points after 27 games, 8 points behind Minnesota United FC. Portland Timbers are 10th on 32 points after 27 games, 4 points behind Los Angeles Galaxy, level on points with Real Salt Lake. Sporting Kansas City have nothing left to play for. Portland Timbers have nothing left to play for.
Team news. Sporting Kansas City are without O. Blorian (chest injury), Capita (hamstring injury), J. Davis (injury), Diego Borges (groin injury), M. Mosquera (hamstring injury), O. Wolff (muscle injury). Portland Timbers are without A. Bonetig (shoulder injury), B. Bye (leg injury), Z. McGraw (back injury), J. Mosquera (foot injury), H. Sulte (lower-body injury), F. Surman (knee injury). F. Surman is their centre-back.
Form. Sporting Kansas City have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. In this competition Sporting Kansas City have gone L W L W L L. Portland Timbers have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W. In this competition Portland Timbers have gone L L L D W L.
The numbers. Sporting Kansas City score 1.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sporting Kansas City average 15.1 shots (5.4 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Portland Timbers score 1.7 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets. Portland Timbers average 14.1 shots (4.1 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Sporting Kansas City have won two, drawn one and lost six. Seven of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Portland Timbers won four. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished Sporting Kansas City 0-6 Portland Timbers: Sporting Kansas City had 11 shots to 16, 37% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The case against. Portland Timbers without F. Surman (centre-back). Sporting Kansas City's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Portland Timbers or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Portland Timbers are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Portland Timbers; the meetings favour Portland Timbers. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%. Seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.11, 78% on the records (Sporting Kansas City: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Portland Timbers: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); 2nd Half - Portland Timbers Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Sporting Kansas City 1-2 Portland Timbers (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).