New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 28. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time. It is played at Boston Stadium. The referee is Tori Penso.
What's at stake. New England Revolution are 2nd on 46 points after 27 games, 14 points behind Nashville SC, level on points with Inter Miami. Seattle Sounders are 7th on 38 points after 27 games, 3 points behind Los Angeles FC, 2 points clear of Colorado Rapids. A win would take them level on points with Los Angeles FC.
Team news. New England Revolution are without J. Harrison (lower-body injury), A. Yusuf (muscle injury), L. Campana (hamstring injury), J. Harrison (lower-body injury), A. Yusuf (muscle injury), L. Campana (hamstring injury). Seattle Sounders are without N. Petkovic (knee injury), P. Rothrock (tendon injury), P. de La Vega (calf injury), J. Ferreira (muscle injury), P. Kingston (injury), N. Petkovic (knee injury).
Form. New England Revolution have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. In this competition New England Revolution have gone L W W W L W. Seattle Sounders have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D. In this competition Seattle Sounders have gone W W W D D D.
The numbers. New England Revolution score 1.7 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. New England Revolution average 15.2 shots (6.5 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Seattle Sounders score 1.5 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Seattle Sounders average 15.0 shots (5.6 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings New England Revolution have won two, drawn five and lost two. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, three were drawn and Seattle Sounders won one. The last time they met, on 7 Jul 2024, it finished New England Revolution 0-2 Seattle Sounders: New England Revolution had 11 shots to 14, 46% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: New England Revolution are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour Seattle Sounders.
The case against. Seattle Sounders's record still gives them 35% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. New England Revolution or the draw. An open game. New England Revolution are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Seattle Sounders. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 76% on the records (New England Revolution: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10; Seattle Sounders: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: New England Revolution or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: New England Revolution 2-1 Seattle Sounders (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).