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ENGLAND - PREMIER LEAGUE
Liverpool crestLIVLIV
16:30Sun 11 Oct
MANMan City crestMC

Liverpool vs Man City

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. The game is at Anfield, Liverpool.

What's at stake. Liverpool sit sixth on 9 points after 5 games, level with Leeds and Everton. A win would lift them above Leeds. Man City sit top with 15 points, 3 points clear of Arsenal.

Form. Liverpool have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, averaging 1.7 points a game. Their last five are W W D W W. Man City have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five are W W W W W.

The numbers. At home Liverpool score 1.5 and concede one a game in their last six, with one clean sheet. They average 13.8 shots (4.7 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game, holding 59% of the ball. Away, Man City score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five, with two clean sheets. They average 13.0 shots (5.1 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game, holding 63% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Liverpool have won three, drawn two and lost five. Five of those ten went over 2.5 goals and both sides scored in five. In the last four meetings Liverpool won one and Man City three. The last clash on 4 Apr 2026 ended Liverpool 0-4 Man City, with each side having 11 shots, 51% of the ball and six yellow cards for Liverpool.

The case against. Liverpool's record still gives them a 24% chance to win. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.

The read. Man City or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Man City are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Man City.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Man City or Over 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Man City 1UP (no side to back); Man City win or both teams score (no side to back). Predicted score: Liverpool 1-2 Man City (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Man City or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.25
LIV 5 of 5 (100%) · MAN 6 of 6 (100%)91.7%
Man City scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Liverpool trailed or failed to win in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Man City: only games against sides at Liverpool's level · Liverpool: only games in Man City's division
Double Chance: Draw or Man CityLEANPAGE ONLY
1.39
LIV 5 of 6 (83%) · MAN 6 of 8 (75%)69.1%
Man City unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Liverpool failed to win 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 4 of 6 · Man City: only games against sides at Liverpool's level · Liverpool: only games in Man City's division
Man City (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.89
LIV 4 of 5 (80%) · MAN 1 of 5 (20%)67.2%
Man City won 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Liverpool lost 1 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 3 of 5 · Man City: only games against sides at Liverpool's level · won 3, refunded 5, lost 3
Man City or draw and over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.71
LIV 5 of 8 (62%) · MAN 3 of 6 (50%)64.5%
Liverpool: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Man City: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 4 of 6 · Liverpool: only games in Man City's division · Man City: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
Man City or draw and both teams scoreSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
2.10
LIV 5 of 8 (62%) · MAN 3 of 6 (50%)50.2%
Liverpool: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Man City: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 2 of 6 · Liverpool: only games in Man City's division · Man City: only games against sides at Liverpool's level · rule 2: the meetings back Man City: in the last 10 meetings, Liverpool won 3, Man City won 5 and 2 were drawn; in the last 4, Liverpool won 1 a
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.18
LIV 6 of 8 (75%) · MAN 4 of 6 (67%)82.6%
Liverpool: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Man City: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 6 of 6 · Liverpool: only games in Man City's division · Man City: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
LIV 3 of 8 (38%) · MAN 3 of 6 (50%)54.9%
Liverpool: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Man City: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 44% · H2H 3 of 6 · Liverpool: only games in Man City's division · Man City: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
LIV 5 of 8 (62%) · MAN 4 of 6 (67%)62.3%
Liverpool: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Man City: both scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 2 of 6 · Liverpool: only games in Man City's division · Man City: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
LIVERPOOL GOALS
Liverpool Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.29
LIV 7 of 8 (88%) · MAN 4 of 6 (67%)70.5%
Liverpool scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Man City conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · H2H 4 of 6 · Liverpool: only games in Man City's division · Man City: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
MAN CITY GOALS
Man City Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.18
LIV 6 of 6 (100%) · MAN 5 of 8 (62%)83%
Man City scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Liverpool conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 6 · Man City: only games against sides at Liverpool's level · Liverpool: only games in Man City's division
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.18
LIV 5 of 8 (62%) · MAN 5 of 6 (83%)75.5%
Liverpool: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Man City: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Liverpool: only games in Man City's division · Man City: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.65
LIV 6 of 8 (75%) · MAN 5 of 6 (83%)71.9%
Liverpool: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Man City: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Liverpool: only games in Man City's division · Man City: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
CORNERS
Over 7.5 CornersIN CODES
1.26
LIV 5 of 8 (62%) · MAN 6 of 6 (100%)81.3%
Liverpool's games: over 7.5 corners in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Man City's games: over 7.5 corners in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Liverpool: only games in Man City's division · Man City: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsIN CODES
1.11
LIV 7 of 8 (88%) · MAN 4 of 6 (67%)77.1%
Liverpool's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Man City's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Liverpool: only games in Man City's division · Man City: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
Left off the list: Man City or Over 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Man City 1UP (no side to back); Man City win or both teams score (no side to back); 1X2 - 2UP: Man City (no side to back); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Man City or Over 1.5 Goals (no side to back)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 8.8%
Liverpool goals →
Man City goals ↓
0-08%
1-08%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11.0%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-40.9%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
LIVERPOOLWWDWWDDDLD1.70 PPG
MAN CITYWWWWWWWLLD2.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LIVERPOOL HOMExMAN CITY AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME2.600.80CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS40%20%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.00CORNERS A GAME6.202.10CARDS A GAME1.601.67xG2.101.22xG AGAINST1.45
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.80POINTS A GAME3.00+0.60GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.60+0.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.21.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME3.05LEAGUE GAMES5
Man City: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
MAN CITY 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
57%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
85%
OKAY · 85/90
LIVERPOOL OR DRAW
60%
NO · 80/85
MAN CITY OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LIVERPOOLxMAN CITY
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME2.600.80CONCEDED A GAME1.002.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE60%4.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–8.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
LIVERPOOL 3 · 30%DRAW 2MAN CITY 5 · 50%
5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-10-16Liverpool 1 – 0 Man City
2022-12-22Liverpool 2 – 3 Man City
2023-04-01Liverpool 1 – 4 Man City
2023-11-25Liverpool 1 – 1 Man City
2024-03-10Liverpool 1 – 1 Man City
2024-12-01Liverpool 2 – 0 Man City
2025-02-23Liverpool 2 – 0 Man City
2025-11-09Liverpool 0 – 3 Man City
TRENDS
Liverpool have scored in 90% of their games.
Man City have scored in 90% of their games.
Liverpool kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Man City kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards
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