OTOIT

09:00Sat 3 Oct

MON

Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. J2 League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 09:00 Lagos time. It is played at Oita Bank Dome.

What's at stake. Oita Trinita are 16th on 8 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Iwaki, level on points with Sagan Tosu. A win would take them above Iwaki. Montedio Yamagata are 8th on 12 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Tokushima Vortis, level on points with Fujieda MYFC. A win would take them above Tokushima Vortis.

Form. Oita Trinita have won one, drawn five and lost two of their last eight, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D L. In this competition Oita Trinita have gone D D D D L W. Montedio Yamagata have won four, drawn none and lost four of their last eight, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W. In this competition Montedio Yamagata have gone W L L L W W.

The numbers. Oita Trinita score 0.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Montedio Yamagata score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game over their last eight, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Oita Trinita have won one, drawn three and lost six. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Oita Trinita won one and Montedio Yamagata won three. The last time they met, on 7 Jun 2026, it finished Oita Trinita 1-0 Montedio Yamagata.

The case against. Oita Trinita's record still gives them 28% to win.

The read. Montedio Yamagata to win. A tight game. Montedio Yamagata are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Montedio Yamagata. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Oita Trinita 0-1 Montedio Yamagata (15% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Montedio Yamagata or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.26

OIT 7 of 8 (88%) · MON 7 of 8 (88%)86.7%

Montedio Yamagata: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Oita Trinita: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 6 of 6 · Montedio Yamagata: only games against sides at Oita Trinita's level · Oita Trinita: only games against sides at Montedio Yamagata's level

Double Chance: Draw or Montedio YamagataLEANIN CODES

1.44

OIT 4 of 8 (50%) · MON 7 of 8 (88%)73.1%

Montedio Yamagata unbeaten in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Oita Trinita failed to win 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 6 · Montedio Yamagata: only games against sides at Oita Trinita's level · Oita Trinita: only games against sides at Montedio Yamagata's level

Montedio Yamagata or draw and under 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

2.25

OIT 7 of 8 (88%) · MON 3 of 8 (38%)60.2%

Oita Trinita: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Montedio Yamagata: the bet landed in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 2 of 6 · Oita Trinita: only games against sides at Montedio Yamagata's level · Montedio Yamagata: only games against sides at Oita Trinita's level

GOALS

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.25

OIT 7 of 8 (88%) · MON 8 of 8 (100%)96.5%

Oita Trinita: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Montedio Yamagata: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · Oita Trinita: only games against sides at Montedio Yamagata's level · Montedio Yamagata: only games against sides at Oita Trinita's level

Under 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.68

OIT 7 of 8 (88%) · MON 6 of 8 (75%)73.8%

Oita Trinita: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Montedio Yamagata: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 3 of 6 · Oita Trinita: only games against sides at Montedio Yamagata's level · Montedio Yamagata: only games against sides at Oita Trinita's level

MONTEDIO YAMAGATA GOALS

Montedio Yamagata Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.34

OIT 5 of 8 (62%) · MON 6 of 8 (75%)63.7%

Montedio Yamagata scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Oita Trinita conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 4 of 6 · Montedio Yamagata: only games against sides at Oita Trinita's level · Oita Trinita: only games against sides at Montedio Yamagata's level

HALVES

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.17

OIT 7 of 8 (88%) · MON 8 of 8 (100%)95.3%

Oita Trinita: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Montedio Yamagata: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Oita Trinita: only games against sides at Montedio Yamagata's level · Montedio Yamagata: only games against sides at Oita Trinita's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.36

OIT 7 of 8 (88%) · MON 6 of 8 (75%)81.8%

Oita Trinita: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Montedio Yamagata: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Oita Trinita: only games against sides at Montedio Yamagata's level · Montedio Yamagata: only games against sides at Oita Trinita's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 14.7%

Oita Trinita goals →

Montedio Yamagata goals ↓

0-016%

1-012%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-115%

1-114%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.4%

5-10.1%

0-28%

1-27%

2-23%

3-20.8%

4-20.2%

5-20.0%

0-33%

1-32%

2-31.0%

3-30.3%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-40.7%

1-40.6%

2-40.2%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 8

OITA TRINITALDWLDDDD1.00 PPG

MONTEDIO YAMAGATAWLWWLLLW1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

OITA TRINITA HOMExMONTEDIO YAMAGATA AWAY

0.88SCORED A GAME1.250.75CONCEDED A GAME0.7525%CLEAN SHEETS50%50%FAILED TO SCORE38%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OITA TRINITA 3:0 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW

–

85 OF 93

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME1.50+0.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.61.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.27LEAGUE GAMES8

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

56%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

16%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

OITA TRINITA OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

MONTEDIO YAMAGATA OR DRAW

56%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

OITA TRINITAxMONTEDIO YAMAGATA

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.200.80CONCEDED A GAME1.002.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES1.8–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

OITA TRINITA 1 · 10%DRAW 3MONTEDIO YAMAGATA 6 · 60%

3 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2018-11-17Oita Trinita 1 – 1 Montedio Yamagata

2022-05-08Oita Trinita 1 – 1 Montedio Yamagata

2022-10-16Oita Trinita 0 – 3 Montedio Yamagata

2023-05-17Oita Trinita 0 – 5 Montedio Yamagata

2023-07-29Oita Trinita 0 – 1 Montedio Yamagata

2024-06-09Oita Trinita 0 – 0 Montedio Yamagata

2024-09-07Oita Trinita 0 – 3 Montedio Yamagata

2025-05-06Oita Trinita 0 – 3 Montedio Yamagata

TRENDS

Oita Trinita failed to score in 50% of their games.

Montedio Yamagata failed to score in 38% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table