Match details. Eliteserien, Regular Season - 23. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sør Arena, Kristiansand. The referee is Mohammad Usman Aslam.
What's at stake. IK Start are 16th on 16 points after 21 games, 3 points behind Kristiansund BK. A win would take them level on points with Kristiansund BK. HamKam are 13th on 23 points after 21 games, level on points with Valerenga, 2 points clear of Aalesund. A win would take them above Valerenga.
Team news. IK Start are without J. Husebo (foot injury), F. Manojlovic (hand injury), K. Tonnesen (leg injury), O. Toure (red card), N. Koutsakos (injury), F. Lien (foot injury). HamKam are without M. Johnsgard (knee injury), B. Isufi (elbow injury), M. Ofkir (injury), A. Potur (heel injury), M. Sandberg (head injury), A. Trondsen (injury). M. Sandberg is their first-choice keeper.
Form. IK Start have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. In this competition IK Start have gone L W L W L L. HamKam have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. In this competition HamKam have gone L L L D L D.
The numbers. IK Start score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. IK Start average 17.8 shots (3.9 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. HamKam score 0.8 and concede 2.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. HamKam average 10.1 shots (3.5 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last five meetings IK Start have won one, drawn none and lost four. Five of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, HamKam won four. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished IK Start 1-2 HamKam: IK Start had 12 shots to 12, 46% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 28% against the records' 49%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%; five of the last five meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. No firm call: HamKam are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Both teams' records favour HamKam; the meetings favour HamKam. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%. Five of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 74% on the records (IK Start: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; HamKam: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: IK Start or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs HamKam); HamKam or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); HamKam Over 0.5 goals (HamKam's own games don't back it (2 of 6)). Predicted score: IK Start 2-1 HamKam (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).