Nice vs Strasbourg
Match details. Fr1, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Allianz Riviera, Nice. The referee is Jeremie Pignard.
What's at stake. Nice are 15th on 5 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Auxerre, 1 point clear of Estac Troyes. A win would take them above Auxerre. Strasbourg are 10th on 7 points after 5 games, level on points with Lens, level on points with Angers. A win would take them above Lens.
Team news. Nice are without L. Abergel (knee injury), M. Bombito (leg injury), A. Mendy (knee injury), M. Sanson (knee injury), L. Abergel (knee injury), M. Bombito (leg injury). Strasbourg are without I. Doukoure (inactive), M. Godo (muscle injury), J. Panichelli (knee injury), I. Doukoure (inactive), M. Godo (muscle injury), J. Panichelli (knee injury).
Form. Nice have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L D. Strasbourg have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L.
The numbers. Nice score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Nice average 11.5 shots (4.1 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. Strasbourg score two and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Strasbourg average 10.3 shots (4.9 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Nice have won four, drawn four and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Nice won one, two were drawn and Strasbourg won one. The last time they met, on 22 Apr 2026, it finished Nice 2-0 Strasbourg: Nice had 4 shots to 17, 34% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Strasbourg's record still gives them 25% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Nice or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Strasbourg are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Nice or Draw (1UP) (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Nice 2-1 Strasbourg (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).