Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at MKM Stadium, Hull. The referee is Michael Salisbury.
What's at stake. Hull City are 10th on 8 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Ipswich, level on points with Newcastle. A win would take them above Ipswich. Everton are 8th on 9 points after 5 games, level on points with Liverpool, level on points with Ipswich. A win would take them above Liverpool.
Team news. Hull City are without I. Ansah (back injury), J. Butland (arm injury), D. Gyabi (groin injury), C. Hughes (groin injury), E. Matazo (knee injury), M. Targett (ankle injury). Everton are without V. Mykolenko (injury), C. Norgaard (groin injury), M. Rohl (injury), V. Mykolenko (injury), C. Norgaard (groin injury), M. Rohl (injury). V. Mykolenko is their main creator. V. Mykolenko is their centre-back.
Form. Hull City have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D W. Everton have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D D.
The numbers. Hull City score one and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and three games without a goal. Hull City average 10.1 shots (3.8 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 32% of the ball. Everton score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Everton average 14.2 shots (4.4 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Hull City have won one, drawn two and lost three. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Hull City won one, two were drawn and Everton won one. The last time they met, on 18 Mar 2017, it finished Hull City 0-4 Everton: Hull City had 6 shots to 14, 49% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The case against. Everton without V. Mykolenko (creator), V. Mykolenko (centre-back). Hull City's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Everton or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Everton the likelier winners; the meetings favour Everton. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Everton at 1.29, 77% on the records (Everton unbeaten in 6 of 8; Hull City failed to win 3 of 5). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Everton Over 0.5 goals (Hull City's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Hull City 1-1 Everton (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).