Fredrikstad FK vs Tromsoe IL
Match details. Eliteserien Regular Season - 23. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. The match is at Fredrikstad Stadion. Referee is Ola Hobber Nilsen.
What's at stake. Fredrikstad sit eighth on 28 points after 21 games, a point behind Brann and three clear of Sarpsborg 08 FF. A win would lift them above Brann. Tromsoe are third on 38 points after 21 games, 15 behind Bodo/Glimt and two clear of Molde.
Team news. Fredrikstad are without I. Amundsen (red card), F. Ghebreyohannes (yellow cards), S. Kvile (knee injury) and J. Nysveen (injury). Tromsoe miss C. Oyvann, S. Prestmo and M. Tonnessen, all injured.
Form. Fredrikstad have four wins, two draws and four losses in their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five are D D L W W. In this competition they have gone D D L W W W. Tromsoe have four wins, three draws and three losses in their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five are W L L D L. In the competition they have gone W L L D L W.
The numbers. Fredrikstad score 0.8 and concede one a game at home in their last five, with two clean sheets. They average 11.1 shots (4.1 on target), 4.1 corners, 1.4 cards a game and 47% possession. Tromsoe score 2.5 and concede 2.2 a game in their six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. They average 13.6 shots (6.6 on target), 4.8 corners, 1.4 cards a game and 52% possession.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Fredrikstad have won none, drawn two and lost three. Two of those games went over 2.5 goals and neither side scored in both. In the last four meetings one was drawn and Tromsoe won three. Their most recent clash on 15 Mar 2026 ended 0-4 to Tromsoe; Fredrikstad had six shots to 16, 57% possession and one yellow card.
The case against. Fredrikstad's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. Tromsoe IL to win. A tight game. Tromsoe IL are the stronger side on form and the table, and the meetings favour Tromsoe IL. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%. Three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Tromsoe IL or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Fredrikstad FK Under 1.5 goals (Tromsoe IL's own games don't back it (2 of 6)). Predicted score: Fredrikstad FK 0-1 Tromsoe IL (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).