Preston North End vs Millwall FC
Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Deepdale, Preston.
What's at stake. Preston North End are 23rd on 4 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Derby, level on points with Burnley. A win would take them above Derby. Millwall FC are 11th on 11 points after 8 games, level on points with Birmingham, level on points with Lincoln. A win would take them above Birmingham.
Form. Preston North End have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. Millwall FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L W.
The numbers. Preston North End score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Preston North End average 9.0 shots (3.0 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Millwall FC score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Millwall FC average 11.3 shots (3.6 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Preston North End have won none, drawn six and lost four. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, two were drawn and Millwall FC won two. The last time they met, on 28 Feb 2026, it finished Preston North End 0-2 Millwall FC: Preston North End had 6 shots to 16, 57% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%; eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The read. Millwall FC to win. A tight game. Millwall FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Millwall FC; the meetings favour Millwall FC. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Millwall FC at 1.42, 71% on the records (Millwall FC unbeaten in 5 of 8; Preston North End failed to win 7 of 8). The safer one: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.40 (72%). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Preston North End Under 1.5 goals (Millwall FC's own games don't back it (3 of 8)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Preston North End 0-1 Millwall FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).