Middlesbrough FC vs Wolves
Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough. The referee is Farai Hallam.
What's at stake. Middlesbrough FC are 3rd on 15 points after 8 games, level on points with West Ham, 1 point clear of Wolves. A win would take them above West Ham. Wolves are 4th on 14 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Middlesbrough, level on points with West Brom. A win would take them above Middlesbrough.
Team news. Middlesbrough FC are without A. Jones (calf injury), A. Jones (calf injury). Wolves are without R. Jimenez (knee injury), Y. Mosquera (ankle injury), R. Said (knee injury), R. Jimenez (knee injury), Y. Mosquera (ankle injury), R. Said (knee injury).
Form. Middlesbrough FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L W. Wolves have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L.
The numbers. Middlesbrough FC score 1.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Middlesbrough FC average 15.2 shots (5.3 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 60% of the ball. Wolves score 1.7 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Wolves average 10.7 shots (4.1 on target), 6.3 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Middlesbrough FC have won five, drawn none and lost four. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Middlesbrough FC won two and Wolves won two. The last time they met, on 30 Mar 2018, it finished Middlesbrough FC 1-2 Wolves: Middlesbrough FC had 17 shots to 7, 55% of the ball, ten yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 76%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 76% on the records (Middlesbrough FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8; Wolves: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Middlesbrough FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Middlesbrough FC or Wolves (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Middlesbrough FC 1-2 Wolves (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).