Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS
Match details. Superettan, Regular Season - 26. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Jämtkraft Arena, Ostersund. The referee is Karlsson Niclas.
What's at stake. Ostersunds FK are 4th on 43 points after 25 games, 1 point behind Varbergs BoIS FC, 3 points clear of Landskrona BoIS. A win would take them above Varbergs BoIS FC. Varbergs BoIS are 3rd on 44 points after 25 games, 1 point behind Falkenbergs FF, 1 point clear of Ostersunds FK. A win would take them above Falkenbergs FF.
Form. Ostersunds FK have won four, drawn six and lost none of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D. In this competition Ostersunds FK have gone D W D W D D. Varbergs BoIS have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. In this competition Varbergs BoIS have gone W W L D W L.
The numbers. Ostersunds FK score 0.8 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Ostersunds FK average 7.2 shots (2.4 on target), 6.8 corners and 0.8 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. Varbergs BoIS score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Varbergs BoIS average 11.8 shots (4.5 on target), 8.2 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Ostersunds FK have won two, drawn two and lost six. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Ostersunds FK won two, one was drawn and Varbergs BoIS won one. The last time they met, on 6 Apr 2026, it finished Ostersunds FK 2-1 Varbergs BoIS.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Ostersunds FK or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Varbergs BoIS or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw). Predicted score: Ostersunds FK 1-1 Varbergs BoIS (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).