Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Carlo Castellani, Empoli. The referee is Livio Marinelli.
What's at stake. Empoli are 13th on 6 points after 5 games, level on points with Arezzo, 1 point clear of Virtus Entella. A win would take them above Arezzo. Palermo FC are 1st on 13 points after 5 games, 2 points clear of Sudtirol.
Form. Empoli have won two, drawn none and lost three of their last five, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W. Palermo FC have won four, drawn one and lost none of their last five, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.
The numbers. Empoli score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last five, with two clean sheets. Empoli average 10.2 shots (3.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Palermo FC score two and concede one a game over their last five, with one clean sheet. Palermo FC average 15.6 shots (5.4 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Empoli have won four, drawn three and lost three. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Empoli won one, one was drawn and Palermo FC won two. The last time they met, on 7 Feb 2026, it finished Empoli 2-3 Palermo FC: Empoli had 17 shots to 12, 43% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Empoli's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. Palermo FC to win. Palermo FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Palermo FC; the meetings favour Palermo FC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Empoli 0-1 Palermo FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).