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ITALY - SERIE B
Empoli crestEMPEMP
14:00Sat 10 Oct
PALPalermo FC crestPF

Empoli vs Palermo FC

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Carlo Castellani, Empoli. The referee is Livio Marinelli.

What's at stake. Empoli are 13th on 6 points after 5 games, level on points with Arezzo, 1 point clear of Virtus Entella. A win would take them above Arezzo. Palermo FC are 1st on 13 points after 5 games, 2 points clear of Sudtirol.

Form. Empoli have won two, drawn none and lost three of their last five, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W. Palermo FC have won four, drawn one and lost none of their last five, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.

The numbers. Empoli score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last five, with two clean sheets. Empoli average 10.2 shots (3.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Palermo FC score two and concede one a game over their last five, with one clean sheet. Palermo FC average 15.6 shots (5.4 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Empoli have won four, drawn three and lost three. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Empoli won one, one was drawn and Palermo FC won two. The last time they met, on 7 Feb 2026, it finished Empoli 2-3 Palermo FC: Empoli had 17 shots to 12, 43% of the ball, six yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. Empoli's record still gives them 23% to win.

The read. Palermo FC to win. Palermo FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Palermo FC; the meetings favour Palermo FC.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Empoli 0-1 Palermo FC (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Palermo FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.22
EMP 5 of 5 (100%) · PAL 5 of 5 (100%)93.8%
Palermo FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Empoli: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 6 · Palermo FC: only games against sides at Empoli's level · Empoli: only games against sides at Palermo FC's level
Palermo FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
EMP 5 of 5 (100%) · PAL 3 of 5 (60%)79.3%
Palermo FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Empoli: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Palermo FC: only games against sides at Empoli's level · Empoli: only games against sides at Palermo FC's level
Double Chance: Draw or Palermo FCIN CODES
1.26
EMP 5 of 5 (100%) · PAL 3 of 5 (60%)78.3%
Palermo FC unbeaten in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Empoli failed to win 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Palermo FC: only games against sides at Empoli's level · Empoli: only games against sides at Palermo FC's level
Palermo FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.33
EMP 4 of 5 (80%) · PAL 3 of 5 (60%)73.7%
Palermo FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Empoli: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · Palermo FC: only games against sides at Empoli's level · Empoli: only games against sides at Palermo FC's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.14
EMP 5 of 5 (100%) · PAL 4 of 5 (80%)90.4%
Empoli: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Palermo FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 6 · Empoli: only games against sides at Palermo FC's level · Palermo FC: only games against sides at Empoli's level
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.23
EMP 2 of 5 (40%) · PAL 4 of 5 (80%)62.2%
Empoli: over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Palermo FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 5 of 6 · Empoli: only games against sides at Palermo FC's level · Palermo FC: only games against sides at Empoli's level
EMPOLI GOALS
Empoli Under 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.38
EMP 5 of 5 (100%) · PAL 4 of 5 (80%)75.9%
Empoli scored under 1.5 in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Palermo FC conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 6 · Empoli: only games against sides at Palermo FC's level · Palermo FC: only games against sides at Empoli's level
Empoli Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 73%
1.37
EMP 4 of 5 (80%) · PAL 4 of 5 (80%)51.4%
Empoli scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Palermo FC conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 6 of 6 · Empoli: only games against sides at Palermo FC's level · Palermo FC: only games against sides at Empoli's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsIN CODES
1.32
EMP 4 of 5 (80%) · PAL 3 of 5 (60%)70%
Empoli's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Palermo FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Empoli: only games against sides at Palermo FC's level · Palermo FC: only games against sides at Empoli's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 9.9%
Empoli goals →
Palermo FC goals ↓
0-08%
1-08%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-110%
1-113%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41.0%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 5
EMPOLIWLWLL1.20 PPG
PALERMO FCWWWDW2.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
EMPOLI HOMExPALERMO FC AWAY
0.80SCORED A GAME2.001.20CONCEDED A GAME1.0040%CLEAN SHEETS20%20%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.00CORNERS A GAME4.403.20CARDS A GAME2.200.73xG1.581.15xG AGAINST1.39
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
EMPOLI 4 · 40%DRAW 3PALERMO FC 3 · 30%
4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2014-10-05Empoli 3 – 0 Palermo FC
2015-03-01Empoli 0 – 0 Palermo FC
2015-11-02Empoli 1 – 0 Palermo FC
2016-03-19Empoli 0 – 0 Palermo FC
2017-01-07Empoli 1 – 0 Palermo FC
2017-05-28Empoli 1 – 2 Palermo FC
2017-09-09Empoli 3 – 3 Palermo FC
2018-02-02Empoli 4 – 0 Palermo FC
TRENDS
Empoli have scored in 80% of their games.
Palermo FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Empoli failed to score in 20% of their games.
Palermo FC failed to score in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tablecornerscards
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