BCBEN

14:00Sat 10 Oct

CES

Benevento Calcio vs Cesena FC

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento. The referee is Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi.

What's at stake. Benevento Calcio are 8th on 7 points after 5 games, level on points with Padova, level on points with Hellas Verona. A win would take them above Padova. Cesena FC are 10th on 7 points after 5 games, level on points with Hellas Verona, level on points with Pisa. A win would take them above Hellas Verona.

Form. Benevento Calcio have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L. Cesena FC have won one, drawn four and lost none of their last five, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W D.

The numbers. Benevento Calcio score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last five, with one clean sheet. Benevento Calcio average 14.6 shots (3.6 on target), 6.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Cesena FC score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last five, with no clean sheets. Cesena FC average 12.0 shots (3.2 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Benevento Calcio have won one, drawn none and lost one. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2017, it finished Benevento Calcio 1-4 Cesena FC: Benevento Calcio had 9 shots to 12, 49% of the ball, six yellow cards.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Benevento Calcio 1-1 Cesena FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.14

BEN 5 of 5 (100%) · CES 5 of 5 (100%)88.8%

Benevento Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Cesena FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Benevento Calcio: only games against sides at Cesena FC's level · Cesena FC: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level

BENEVENTO CALCIO GOALS

Benevento Calcio Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.19

BEN 4 of 5 (80%) · CES 5 of 5 (100%)76.9%

Benevento Calcio scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Cesena FC conceded in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Benevento Calcio: only games against sides at Cesena FC's level · Cesena FC: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.46

BEN 4 of 5 (80%) · CES 4 of 5 (80%)80%

Benevento Calcio: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Cesena FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Benevento Calcio: only games against sides at Cesena FC's level · Cesena FC: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level

CORNERS

Over 8.5 CornersIN CODES

1.44

BEN 5 of 5 (100%) · CES 3 of 5 (60%)80%

Benevento Calcio's games: over 8.5 corners in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Cesena FC's games: over 8.5 corners in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Benevento Calcio: only games against sides at Cesena FC's level · Cesena FC: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsIN CODES

1.18

BEN 4 of 5 (80%) · CES 3 of 5 (60%)70%

Benevento Calcio's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Cesena FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Benevento Calcio: only games against sides at Cesena FC's level · Cesena FC: only games against sides at Benevento Calcio's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

Benevento Calcio goals →

Cesena FC goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 5

BENEVENTO CALCIOLDLWW1.40 PPG

CESENA FCDWDDD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BENEVENTO CALCIO HOMExCESENA FC AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME1.2020%CLEAN SHEETS0%20%FAILED TO SCORE0%6.20CORNERS A GAME3.803.00CARDS A GAME2.601.14xG1.201.33xG AGAINST0.90

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.40POINTS A GAME1.40+0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.20–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.01.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.45LEAGUE GAMES5

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

85%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

38%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

BENEVENTO CALCIO OR DRAW

62%

NO · 80/85

CESENA FC OR DRAW

75%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BENEVENTO CALCIOxCESENA FC

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME1.202.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

BENEVENTO CALCIO 1 · 50%DRAW 0CESENA FC 1 · 50%

2016-12-05Benevento Calcio 2 – 1 Cesena FC

2017-04-25Benevento Calcio 1 – 4 Cesena FC

TRENDS

Benevento Calcio have scored in 90% of their games.

Cesena FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Benevento Calcio failed to score in 20% of their games.

Cesena FC failed to score in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tablecornerscards