Match details. 3. Liga, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Hänsch-Arena, May Pen. The referee is Simon Schreiner.
What's at stake. SV Meppen 1912 are 17th on 6 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Würzburger Kickers, 1 point clear of SSV Jahn Regensburg. A win would take them above Würzburger Kickers. VfB Stuttgart II are 15th on 7 points after 7 games, 1 point behind FC Ingolstadt 04, level on points with Würzburger Kickers. A win would take them above FC Ingolstadt 04.
Form. SV Meppen 1912 have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. VfB Stuttgart II have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L.
The numbers. SV Meppen 1912 score two and concede 2.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. SV Meppen 1912 average 8.7 shots (3.2 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. VfB Stuttgart II score two and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. VfB Stuttgart II average 10.5 shots (5.2 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 33% against the records' 54%.
The read. No firm call: VfB Stuttgart II are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. VfB Stuttgart II are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour VfB Stuttgart II. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 84% on the records (SV Meppen 1912: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7; VfB Stuttgart II: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: SV Meppen 1912 Over 0.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: SV Meppen 1912 or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs VfB Stuttgart II); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: SV Meppen 1912 2-2 VfB Stuttgart II (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).