Match details. 3. Liga, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Südstadion, Cologne, a neutral ground. The referee is Felix Grund.
What's at stake. Fortuna Cologne are 12th on 9 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Verl, 1 point clear of SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach. A win would take them above Verl. 1. FC Saarbrucken are 4th on 13 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Rot-Weiß Essen, level on points with Hoffenheim II. A win would take them above Rot-Weiß Essen.
Form. Fortuna Cologne have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D W. 1. FC Saarbrucken have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L.
The numbers. Fortuna Cologne score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Fortuna Cologne average 5.9 shots (2.0 on target), 2.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 41% of the ball. 1. FC Saarbrucken score 2.5 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. 1. FC Saarbrucken average 13.3 shots (5.1 on target), 7.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 76% on the records (Fortuna Cologne: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7; 1. FC Saarbrucken: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9). Backup: 1. FC Saarbrucken Over 0.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: 1. FC Saarbrucken or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 8.5 Corners (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Fortuna Cologne 1-2 1. FC Saarbrucken (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).