Match details. Parva Liga, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Hristo Botev Stadium, Plovdiv. The referee is Nikola Popov.
What's at stake. Botev Plovdiv are 6th on 16 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Arda Kardzhali, 5 points clear of Slavia Sofia. A win would take them above Arda Kardzhali. PFC Slavia Sofia are 7th on 11 points after 10 games, 5 points behind Botev Plovdiv, 1 point clear of Spartak Varna.
Form. Botev Plovdiv have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. In this competition Botev Plovdiv have gone W W W L L L. PFC Slavia Sofia have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D. In this competition PFC Slavia Sofia have gone L D W L D D.
The numbers. Botev Plovdiv score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Botev Plovdiv average 11.1 shots (5.5 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. PFC Slavia Sofia score 0.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. PFC Slavia Sofia average 8.2 shots (3.0 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Botev Plovdiv have won three, drawn three and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Botev Plovdiv won two, one was drawn and PFC Slavia Sofia won one. The last time they met, on 20 Mar 2026, it finished Botev Plovdiv 1-0 PFC Slavia Sofia: Botev Plovdiv had 20 shots to 10, 50% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The case against. PFC Slavia Sofia's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Botev Plovdiv to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Botev Plovdiv the likelier winners; Botev Plovdiv are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Botev Plovdiv or Draw at 1.17, 76% on the records (Botev Plovdiv unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; PFC Slavia Sofia failed to win 8 of 10). Backup: Botev Plovdiv or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Botev Plovdiv or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Botev Plovdiv or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Botev Plovdiv 1-0 PFC Slavia Sofia (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).