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ESTONIA - PREMIUM LIIGA
Parnu JK Vaprus crestPJPAR
12:30Sat 10 Oct
JKNJK Narva Trans crestJN

Parnu JK Vaprus vs JK Narva Trans

CLASS D
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
75
TOTAL GOALS
Class D
Parnu JK Vaprus crestPJvJK Narva Trans crestJN
Over 1.5 Goals
Parnu JK Vaprus v JK Narva Trans
Estonia - Premium Liiga · 12:30
1.19odds
84%book
-9edge
1/1angles
THE READ

Match details. Premium Liiga, Regular Season - 30. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Parnu Rannastaadion.

What's at stake. Parnu JK Vaprus are 7th on 34 points after 29 games, 1 point behind Laagri, 5 points clear of Kuressaare. A win would take them above Laagri. JK Narva Trans are 10th on 19 points after 29 games, 9 points behind Nõmme United. Parnu JK Vaprus have nothing left to play for.

Form. Parnu JK Vaprus have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. In this competition Parnu JK Vaprus have gone L L L W W D. JK Narva Trans have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L L. In this competition JK Narva Trans have gone D L D L L L.

The numbers. Parnu JK Vaprus score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Parnu JK Vaprus average 3.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game. JK Narva Trans score one and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. JK Narva Trans average 4.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Parnu JK Vaprus have won one, drawn three and lost five. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Parnu JK Vaprus won one, one was drawn and JK Narva Trans won two. The last time they met, on 18 Jul 2026, it finished Parnu JK Vaprus 1-3 JK Narva Trans.

Where it pulls both ways. Parnu JK Vaprus are the form side, but the meetings favour JK Narva Trans: in the last nine meetings, Parnu JK Vaprus won one, JK Narva Trans won five and three were drawn.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%. Five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 75% on the records (Parnu JK Vaprus: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10; JK Narva Trans: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Parnu JK Vaprus or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); JK Narva Trans or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Parnu JK Vaprus 2-1 JK Narva Trans (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.19
PAR 9 of 10 (90%) · JKN 10 of 10 (100%)75.4%
Parnu JK Vaprus: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · JK Narva Trans: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6 · Parnu JK Vaprus: only games against sides at JK Narva Trans's level · JK Narva Trans: only games against sides at Parnu JK Vaprus's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
PAR 7 of 10 (70%) · JKN 5 of 10 (50%)50.2%
Parnu JK Vaprus: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · JK Narva Trans: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 3 of 6 · Parnu JK Vaprus: only games against sides at JK Narva Trans's level · JK Narva Trans: only games against sides at Parnu JK Vaprus's level
PARNU JK VAPRUS GOALS
Parnu JK Vaprus Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.22
PAR 8 of 10 (80%) · JKN 10 of 10 (100%)79.1%
Parnu JK Vaprus scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · JK Narva Trans conceded in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Parnu JK Vaprus: only games against sides at JK Narva Trans's level · JK Narva Trans: only games against sides at Parnu JK Vaprus's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.16
PAR 10 of 10 (100%) · JKN 9 of 10 (90%)92.1%
Parnu JK Vaprus: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · JK Narva Trans: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Parnu JK Vaprus: only games against sides at JK Narva Trans's level · JK Narva Trans: only games against sides at Parnu JK Vaprus's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.27
PAR 8 of 10 (80%) · JKN 10 of 10 (100%)88.3%
Parnu JK Vaprus: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · JK Narva Trans: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Parnu JK Vaprus: only games against sides at JK Narva Trans's level · JK Narva Trans: only games against sides at Parnu JK Vaprus's level
Left off the list: Parnu JK Vaprus or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); JK Narva Trans or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); JK Narva Trans or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Parnu JK Vaprus or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.4%
Parnu JK Vaprus goals →
JK Narva Trans goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
PARNU JK VAPRUSLDLLDWWLLL0.80 PPG
JK NARVA TRANSWWLDLLLDLD0.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
PARNU JK VAPRUS HOMExJK NARVA TRANS AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.002.20CONCEDED A GAME1.9020%CLEAN SHEETS20%21%FAILED TO SCORE48%3.62CORNERS A GAME4.382.10CARDS A GAME2.31
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME0.40-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.20-2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.21.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.48LEAGUE GAMES5
Parnu JK Vaprus: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
PARNU JK VAPRUS OR DRAW
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
JK NARVA TRANS OR DRAW
28%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
PARNU JK VAPRUSxJK NARVA TRANS
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME0.802.00CONCEDED A GAME2.003.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE60%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.811.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
PARNU JK VAPRUS 1 · 11%DRAW 3JK NARVA TRANS 5 · 56%
7 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-10-27Parnu JK Vaprus 1 – 1 JK Narva Trans
2025-03-04Parnu JK Vaprus 1 – 3 JK Narva Trans
2025-04-23Parnu JK Vaprus 1 – 2 JK Narva Trans
2025-05-11Parnu JK Vaprus 2 – 4 JK Narva Trans
2025-07-12Parnu JK Vaprus 0 – 0 JK Narva Trans
2025-10-18Parnu JK Vaprus 1 – 1 JK Narva Trans
2026-03-21Parnu JK Vaprus 1 – 2 JK Narva Trans
2026-05-09Parnu JK Vaprus 2 – 0 JK Narva Trans
TRENDS
Parnu JK Vaprus have scored in 80% of their games.
JK Narva Trans have scored in 60% of their games.
Parnu JK Vaprus kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
JK Narva Trans kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards
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