SMSOU

09:35Sat 10 Oct

MEL

South Melbourne FC vs Melbourne Victory

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Australia Cup, Final. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 09:35 Lagos time. It is played at AAMI Park, Melbourne, a neutral ground.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. South Melbourne FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W. Melbourne Victory have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W. In this competition Melbourne Victory have gone W W.

The numbers. South Melbourne FC score 1.9 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. South Melbourne FC average 13.3 shots (5.5 on target), 8.0 corners and 0.9 cards a game. Melbourne Victory score 2.1 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Melbourne Victory average 14.2 shots (4.2 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: South Melbourne FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Melbourne Victory or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: South Melbourne FC 1-2 Melbourne Victory (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SOU 10 of 10 (100%) · MEL 10 of 10 (100%)100%

South Melbourne FC: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Melbourne Victory: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100%

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.20

SOU 9 of 10 (90%) · MEL 8 of 10 (80%)85%

South Melbourne FC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Melbourne Victory: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.65

SOU 8 of 10 (80%) · MEL 5 of 10 (50%)65%

South Melbourne FC: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Melbourne Victory: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%

SOUTH MELBOURNE FC GOALS

South Melbourne FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.45

SOU 9 of 10 (90%) · MEL 7 of 10 (70%)80%

South Melbourne FC scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Melbourne Victory conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

MELBOURNE VICTORY GOALS

Melbourne Victory Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SOU 8 of 10 (80%) · MEL 8 of 10 (80%)80%

Melbourne Victory scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · South Melbourne FC conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

Left off the list: South Melbourne FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Melbourne Victory or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Melbourne Victory or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); South Melbourne FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.2%

South Melbourne FC goals →

Melbourne Victory goals ↓

0-06%

1-06%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-18%

1-112%

2-17%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-34%

1-35%

2-33%

3-32%

4-30.5%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.6%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.5%

1-50.7%

2-50.5%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

SOUTH MELBOURNE FCWWDWLWLWLW1.90 PPG

MELBOURNE VICTORYWWLDDWLWWD1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SOUTH MELBOURNE FC HOMExMELBOURNE VICTORY AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME2.101.20CONCEDED A GAME0.9020%CLEAN SHEETS50%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%8.00CORNERS A GAME7.000.90CARDS A GAME1.60

TRENDS

South Melbourne FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Melbourne Victory have scored in 60% of their games.

South Melbourne FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Melbourne Victory kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards