Match details. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Generali Arena, Wien.
What's at stake. FK Austria Wien are 10th on 7 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Grazer AK, 2 points clear of Wolfsberger AC. A win would take them above Grazer AK. Sturm Graz are 4th on 11 points after 7 games, 5 points behind Lask Linz, 3 points clear of Ried.
Form. FK Austria Wien have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L. Sturm Graz have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L.
The numbers. FK Austria Wien score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. FK Austria Wien average 8.4 shots (3.2 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Sturm Graz score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Sturm Graz average 12.4 shots (3.7 on target), 7.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FK Austria Wien have won five, drawn three and lost two. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, FK Austria Wien won two, one was drawn and Sturm Graz won one. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished FK Austria Wien 1-1 Sturm Graz: FK Austria Wien had 7 shots to 16, 39% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. FK Austria Wien's record still gives them 42% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Sturm Graz or the draw. An open game. The meetings favour FK Austria Wien.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FK Austria Wien 1-2 Sturm Graz (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).