PSG vs Le Mans FC
Match details. Ligue 1, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Parc des Princes, Paris. The referee is Mathieu Vernice.
What's at stake. PSG are 6th on 8 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Rennes, 1 point clear of Lens. A win would take them above Rennes. Le Mans FC are 10th on 6 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Strasbourg, level on points with Auxerre. A win would take them above Strasbourg.
Team news. PSG are without O. Dembele (rest), A. Longoni (injury), S. Mayulu (groin injury), N. Mendes (rest), O. Dembele (rest), A. Longoni (injury). Le Mans FC are without A. Bourabaa (ankle injury), E. Colas (injury), T. Eyoum (coach's decision), E. Quarshie (coach's decision), M. Rossignol (injury), D. Sidibe (yellow cards). A. Bourabaa is their main creator.
Form. PSG have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D. Le Mans FC have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L D.
The numbers. PSG score 1.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. PSG average 18.4 shots (6.5 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 66% of the ball. Le Mans FC score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Le Mans FC average 7.9 shots (3.6 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. PSG have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 4 Feb 2025, it finished PSG 2-0 Le Mans FC: PSG had 12 shots to 9, 71% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 91% against the records' 27%.
The read. No firm call: PSG are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make PSG the likelier winners; PSG are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 82%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: PSG 3-0 Le Mans FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).