RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Match details. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Leipzig Red Bull Arena. The referee is Daniel Siebert.
What's at stake. RB Leipzig are 9th on 6 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Werder Bremen, 1 point clear of Eintracht Frankfurt. A win would take them above Werder Bremen. Eintracht Frankfurt are 10th on 5 points after 4 games, 1 point behind RB Leipzig, level on points with FC Schalke 04. A win would take them above RB Leipzig.
Form. RB Leipzig have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. Eintracht Frankfurt have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W.
The numbers. RB Leipzig score 2.1 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. RB Leipzig average 14.7 shots (6.1 on target), 6.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Eintracht Frankfurt score four and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Eintracht Frankfurt average 13.0 shots (6.6 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings RB Leipzig have won six, drawn one and lost two. Seven of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, RB Leipzig won three and Eintracht Frankfurt won one. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished RB Leipzig 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt: RB Leipzig had 19 shots to 16, 49% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make RB Leipzig the likelier winners, but Eintracht Frankfurt are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour RB Leipzig; the meetings favour RB Leipzig.
The case against. Eintracht Frankfurt's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. RB Leipzig to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make RB Leipzig the likelier winners; Eintracht Frankfurt are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour RB Leipzig; the meetings favour RB Leipzig. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 90%. Seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: RB Leipzig or Draw at 1.20, 78% on the records (RB Leipzig unbeaten in 3 of 7; Eintracht Frankfurt failed to win 8 of 9). Backup: RB Leipzig or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (RB Leipzig are a clear winner, no Unders); RB Leipzig Over 1.5 goals (RB Leipzig's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Eintracht Frankfurt Under 1.5 goals (Eintracht Frankfurt's own games don't back it (4 of 9)). Predicted score: RB Leipzig 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).