THE READ
Match details. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 5 kicks off on Sat 10 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time at the MEWA ARENA in Mainz.
What's at stake. Mainz sit sixth on 7 points after 4 games, level on points with Bayer Leverkusen and SV Elversberg; a win would lift them above Bayer Leverkusen. Bayer Leverkusen are fifth on 7 points after 4 games, level on points with FC Augsburg and FSV Mainz 05; a win would push them above FC Augsburg.
Form. Mainz have five wins, two draws and three defeats in their last ten, averaging 1.7 points a game. Their last five go W L W D W. Bayer Leverkusen have six wins, two draws and two defeats in their last ten, averaging 2.0 points a game. Their last five read W W D W L.
The numbers. Mainz average 2.8 goals for and 1.5 against in their last ten, keeping four clean sheets. They manage about 15.2 shots a game (6.7 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.7 cards, holding 51% of possession. Bayer Leverkusen have 2.2 scored and 1.8 conceded in their last five away, with one clean sheet. They average 16.8 shots (6.5 on target), 9.2 corners and 1.2 cards, holding 61% of possession.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Mainz have won two, drawn two and lost six. Seven of those ten went over 2.5 goals and both sides scored in six. In the last four meetings two were drawn and Bayer Leverkusen won two. The most recent clash on 28 Feb 2026 ended 1-1, with Mainz on 8 shots to 12, 34% possession and three yellow cards.
The case against. Mainz's record still gives them a 24% chance to win.
The read. Bayer Leverkusen or the draw. An open game. The meetings favour Bayer Leverkusen. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 78% on the records (Mainz: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9; Bayer Leverkusen: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); 2nd Half - Bayer Leverkusen Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Mainz 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Bayer Leverkusen or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MAI 5 of 5 (100%) · BAY 8 of 9 (89%)91.1%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Mainz: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Mainz's level · Mainz: only games in Bayer Leverkusen's division
Bayer Leverkusen win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.16
MAI 5 of 5 (100%) · BAY 6 of 9 (67%)85.9%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Mainz: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Mainz's level · Mainz: only games in Bayer Leverkusen's division
2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or Bayer LeverkusenPAGE ONLY
1.37
MAI 4 of 5 (80%) · BAY 7 of 9 (78%)80%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Mainz: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Mainz's level · Mainz: only games in Bayer Leverkusen's division
Bayer Leverkusen or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.25
MAI 4 of 5 (80%) · BAY 4 of 5 (80%)75.6%
Bayer Leverkusen scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Mainz trailed or failed to win in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Mainz's level · Mainz: only games in Bayer Leverkusen's division
Double Chance: Draw or Bayer LeverkusenIN CODES
1.37
MAI 4 of 5 (80%) · BAY 5 of 9 (56%)75.5%
Bayer Leverkusen unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Mainz failed to win 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 6 of 6 · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Mainz's level · Mainz: only games in Bayer Leverkusen's division
Bayer Leverkusen or draw and over 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.57
MAI 4 of 9 (44%) · BAY 4 of 5 (80%)73.4%
Mainz: the bet landed in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 5 of 6 · Mainz: only games in Bayer Leverkusen's division · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Mainz's level
Bayer Leverkusen to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.57
MAI 4 of 5 (80%) · BAY 5 of 9 (56%)71.7%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Mainz: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Mainz's level · Mainz: only games in Bayer Leverkusen's division
Bayer Leverkusen or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.24
MAI 4 of 5 (80%) · BAY 6 of 9 (67%)66.1%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Mainz: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 5 of 6 · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Mainz's level · Mainz: only games in Bayer Leverkusen's division
Bayer Leverkusen 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.51
MAI 3 of 5 (60%) · BAY 3 of 5 (60%)58.5%
Bayer Leverkusen scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Mainz trailed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Mainz's level · Mainz: only games in Bayer Leverkusen's division
Bayer Leverkusen or draw and over 2.5 goalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
2.10
MAI 3 of 9 (33%) · BAY 3 of 5 (60%)51.1%
Mainz: the bet landed in 3 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 47% · H2H 4 of 6 · Mainz: only games in Bayer Leverkusen's division · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Mainz's level · rule 2: the meetings back Bayer Leverkusen: in the last 10 meetings, Mainz won 2, Bayer Leverkusen won 6 and 2 were drawn; in the l
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.16
MAI 8 of 9 (89%) · BAY 5 of 5 (100%)79.9%
Mainz: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bayer Leverkusen: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 6 · Mainz: only games in Bayer Leverkusen's division · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Mainz's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
MAI 6 of 9 (67%) · BAY 4 of 5 (80%)52.2%
Mainz: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bayer Leverkusen: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 4 of 6 · Mainz: only games in Bayer Leverkusen's division · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Mainz's level
MAINZ GOALS
Mainz Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.22
MAI 8 of 9 (89%) · BAY 4 of 5 (80%)63.1%
Mainz scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bayer Leverkusen conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 4 of 6 · Mainz: only games in Bayer Leverkusen's division · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Mainz's level
BAYER LEVERKUSEN GOALS
Bayer Leverkusen Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.18
MAI 5 of 5 (100%) · BAY 6 of 9 (67%)80.9%
Bayer Leverkusen scored in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Mainz conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Mainz's level · Mainz: only games in Bayer Leverkusen's division
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.15
MAI 7 of 9 (78%) · BAY 5 of 5 (100%)91.7%
Mainz: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Mainz: only games in Bayer Leverkusen's division · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Mainz's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.26
MAI 8 of 9 (89%) · BAY 4 of 5 (80%)80%
Mainz: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Mainz: only games in Bayer Leverkusen's division · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Mainz's level
CORNERS
1.31
MAI 8 of 9 (89%) · BAY 3 of 5 (60%)74.4%
Mainz's games: over 7.5 corners in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bayer Leverkusen's games: over 7.5 corners in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · Mainz: only games in Bayer Leverkusen's division · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Mainz's level
Left off the list: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5 (the numbers (46%) and the records (75%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); 2nd Half - Bayer Leverkusen Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the numbers (58%) and the records (83%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))